Language:English
Jaume Munar v Alexander Blockx
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jaume Munar (Local)
Prediction 41.69%2.40fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%41.77%41.54%42.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.282.3245.45%43.95%43.86%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Blockx (Visit)
Prediction 58.31%1.72fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.40%58.23%58.46%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.621.621.6762.50%61.79%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaume Munar (Local): 41.69%; Alexander Blockx (Visit): 58.31%. For Alexander Blockx (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -2.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.27%E -1.41%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.37%E -2.67%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 19:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 06:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.11%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.53%E -1.98%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.54%E -3.42%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.71%E -4.19%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.03%E -3.15%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.71%E -4.19%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 06:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.71%E -4.19%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 13:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.28%E -3.76%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.71%E -4.19%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 13:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
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