Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaume Munar v Alexander Blockx

2026-08-04 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaume Munar (Local)

Predicción 42.18%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.926%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.10%42.24%42.13%44.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.242.252.3246.51%44.68%44.44%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexander Blockx (Visitante)

Predicción 57.82%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -3.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.99%57.76%57.87%58.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.641.641.6963.69%61.14%60.98%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jaume Munar (Local): 42.18%; Alexander Blockx (Visitante): 57.82%. Para Jaume Munar (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.37. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.32, con un valor esperado de -2.15%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.15%E -0.926%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 15:49
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.15%E -0.926%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 15:40
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 15:39
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:19
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 11:39
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 15:44
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 15:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.99%E -1.30%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 15:44
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 22:24
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.26%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 16:34
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.26%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 16:34
SportsBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.26%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 23:09
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.26%E -1.88%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 15:44
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.86%E -1.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 13:50
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 13:50
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 15:45
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 07:35
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:35
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:35
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:34
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:34
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:34
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:34
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:34
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:34
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:35
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:35
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:35
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:35
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 22:20
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 15:39
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 15:39
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 22:19
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 22:24
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 15:45
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.10%E -2.27%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.22%E -5.87%K -16.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 01:45
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 17:15
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 17:15
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.59%E -2.78%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 05:14
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 11:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.17%E -3.15%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 15:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 22:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 15:45
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 15:40
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 06:34
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 15:44
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 15:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 15:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.21%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.48%E -4.68%K -12.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 15:44
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.02%E -2.42%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 14:01
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.75%E -3.53%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 01:09
ReBet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -8.90%E -4.12%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 16:34
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.32%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.28%E -1.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 12:58
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.32%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 16:34
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.32%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 14:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.6%2026-08-03 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.6%2026-08-03 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.6%2026-08-03 15:30
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.6%2026-08-03 16:05
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.6%2026-08-03 15:30
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.8%2026-08-03 18:00
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%3.4%2026-08-03 18:05