Język:Polski
Jakub Mensik v Ben Shelton
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Jakub Mensik (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 43.48%2.30kurs godziwy
EV +1.30%
Przewaga +0.560%
Kelly +0.981%
Wzrost +0.013%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.33
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.01%43.56%43.52%45.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.072.162.152.3348.31%46.37%46.51%42.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Ben Shelton (Goście)
Prognoza 56.52%1.77kurs godziwy
EV -1.09%
Przewaga -0.621%
Kelly -1.45%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.55%56.44%56.48%58.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.701.691.7561.73%58.99%59.17%57.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jakub Mensik (Gospodarze): 43.48%; Ben Shelton (Goście): 56.52%. Dla wyniku Jakub Mensik (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.30. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.33, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.30%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +1.30%E +0.560%K +0.981%G +0.013% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.30%E -0.575%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.30%E -0.575%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.17%E -0.966%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.17%E -0.966%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.17%E -0.966%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 21:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 16:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 21:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 21:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 21:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -7.39%E -3.47%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.65%E -0.949%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 06:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 21:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 21:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -10.00%E -4.83%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |