Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jakub Mensik v Ben Shelton

2026-08-11 14:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Predicción 48.41%2.07momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.95%48.39%48.41%48.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.841.951.952.0154.35%51.21%51.28%49.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Predicción 51.59%1.94momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -3.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%51.61%51.59%53.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.831.831.8857.80%54.77%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jakub Mensik (Local): 48.41%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 51.59%. Para Jakub Mensik (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.07. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.01, con un valor esperado de -2.69%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -3.02%E -1.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-10 05:20
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.17%E -1.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.02%E -1.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-10 06:06
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.17%E -1.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.05%E -2.18%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 08:10
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.17%E -1.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 08:01
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.17%E -1.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 07:55
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.17%E -1.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.11%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 02:54
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.17%E -1.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 05:19
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.17%E -1.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 08:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.17%E -1.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 07:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.17%E -1.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 08:11
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.17%E -1.59%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.69%E -4.91%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 07:56
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.65%E -1.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 08:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 07:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 07:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.05%E -2.18%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 06:55
Betsson🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.08%E -2.76%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 02:55
NordicBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.08%E -2.76%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 02:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 07:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 05:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.11%E -2.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.08%E -2.76%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 06:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.11%E -2.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.08%E -2.76%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 06:10
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 02:55
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 03:15
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 06:55
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 04:45
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 04:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 06:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 06:45
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 08:00
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:10
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:10
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:10
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:10
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:09
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:11
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 06:15
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 07:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.11%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 08:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.11%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 06:55
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.11%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 06:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 02:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.56%E -3.40%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.63%E -3.66%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 02:55
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.56%E -3.40%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 02:55
Neds🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.04%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 03:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.04%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 03:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.04%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 06:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -7.04%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -8.18%E -4.59%K -10.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 07:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 02:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 03:14
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 03:15
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 03:53
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 03:54
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 08:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -7.66%E -4.28%K -9.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 06:29
ReBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.98%E -4.78%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.21%E -5.23%K -12.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-10 02:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -10.92%E -5.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -10.76%E -6.22%K -14.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 02:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-08-10 06:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-08-10 06:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-08-10 06:56
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-08-10 07:35
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%3.2%2026-08-10 08:15
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%6.6%2026-08-10 06:55
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%7.6%2026-08-10 08:45