StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jakub Mensik v Ben Shelton

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-11 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Jakub Mensik 0–2 Ben Shelton

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jakub Mensik (Heim)

Prognose 43.48%2.30faire Quote
EV +1.30%
Vorteil +0.560%
Kelly +0.981%
Wachstum +0.013%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.01%43.56%43.52%45.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.072.162.152.3348.31%46.37%46.51%42.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Ben Shelton (Auswärts)

Prognose 56.52%1.77faire Quote
EV -1.09%
Vorteil -0.621%
Kelly -1.45%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.55%56.44%56.48%58.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.621.701.691.7561.73%58.99%59.17%57.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jakub Mensik (Heim): 43.48%; Ben Shelton (Auswärts): 56.52%. Für Jakub Mensik (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.30. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.33 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.30%.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +1.30%E +0.560%K +0.981%G +0.013%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 21:54
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.30%E -0.575%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-11 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.30%E -0.575%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-11 21:54
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.17%E -0.966%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 21:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.17%E -0.966%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 21:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.17%E -0.966%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 21:25
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 21:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 21:19
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 21:19
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 21:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 21:14
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 16:09
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:35
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 21:46
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 21:20
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 21:20
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 21:19
ReBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 21:19
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 21:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 21:20
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 18:05
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 21:19
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 21:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 21:45
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 16:10
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 16:15
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 21:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-11 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -7.39%E -3.47%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:55
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 21:55
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 19:25
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 21:35
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 21:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.65%E -0.949%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:14
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:15
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:15
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:15
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:15
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:10
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:10
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:14
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 06:55
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:55
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 21:35
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 21:14
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 21:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -10.00%E -4.83%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 21:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-08-11 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-08-11 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-08-11 21:55
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-11 21:45
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-11 21:55
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-11 21:45
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.3%2026-08-11 21:50