Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gabriel Diallo v Kyrian Jacquet

2026-08-02 23:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gabriel Diallo (Local)

Prediction 54.41%1.84fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.98%54.45%54.35%55.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.731.721.7958.14%57.76%58.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kyrian Jacquet (Visit)

Prediction 45.59%2.19fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.79%45.55%45.65%46.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.112.122.1348.78%47.49%47.17%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gabriel Diallo (Local): 54.41%; Kyrian Jacquet (Visit): 45.59%. For Gabriel Diallo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.79, with an expected value of -2.61%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -2.61%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 08:40
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -3.16%E -1.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -2.89%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 08:44
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 08:39
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 08:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:39
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:40
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:39
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 08:45
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 08:39
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:40
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:39
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:40
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:40
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:40
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:40
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:40
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:39
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:39
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:38
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.34%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:39
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -6.42%E -3.73%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -3.80%E -1.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 08:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-08-02 08:40