Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gabriel Diallo v Kyrian Jacquet

Início: 2026-08-03 23:50 UTC

Final: Gabriel Diallo 2–1 Kyrian Jacquet

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gabriel Diallo (Local)

Previsão 52.12%1.92odd justa
EV -3.06%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -3.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.07%52.16%52.09%54.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.821.831.8657.47%54.88%54.64%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kyrian Jacquet (Visitante)

Previsão 47.88%2.09odd justa
EV -1.85%
Vantagem -0.901%
Kelly -1.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.91%47.84%47.91%48.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.911.971.962.0552.36%50.86%51.02%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Gabriel Diallo (Local): 52.12%; Kyrian Jacquet (Visitante): 47.88%. Para Kyrian Jacquet (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.09. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.05, com valor esperado de -1.85%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 18:24
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.58%E -1.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.33%E -1.14%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.58%E -1.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.33%E -1.14%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 20:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.58%E -1.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.76%E -1.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.58%E -1.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.58%E -1.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 18:24
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.58%E -1.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 18:24
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.58%E -1.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.10%E -2.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.10%E -2.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.16%E -3.14%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.10%E -2.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.16%E -3.14%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:20
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 07:45
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.72%E -2.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.72%E -2.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.72%E -2.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 18:24
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.72%E -2.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.68%E -2.88%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 20:40
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:19
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:34
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 23:34
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 23:35
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 23:34
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 18:24
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.28%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 23:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 21:59
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.14%E -2.82%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.66%E -3.13%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.68%E -2.88%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 20:40
ReBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.66%E -3.13%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.68%E -2.88%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 20:04
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 20:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 20:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 07:40
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 20:40
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 17:14
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.16%E -3.14%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.16%E -3.14%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 18:24
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 17:15
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 17:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.07%E -4.20%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 18:19
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 17:14
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 17:11
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.79%E -5.02%K -11.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.63%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 18:30
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.31%E -5.35%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.85%E -0.901%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 14:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-08-03 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-03 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-03 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-03 21:55
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.0%2026-08-03 20:40
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-08-03 23:20
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-08-03 21:15