Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botic van de Zandschulp v Hubert Hurkacz

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 18:30 UTC

Final: Botic van de Zandschulp 2–1 Hubert Hurkacz

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)

Prediction 36.47%2.74fair odd
EV +2.12%
Edge +0.757%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%36.45%36.59%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.642.622.8040.82%37.89%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Visit)

Prediction 63.53%1.57fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.988%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%63.55%63.41%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.481.491.5570.42%67.59%67.11%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 36.47%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visit): 63.53%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.52%E -5.92%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.52%E -5.92%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 11:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.52%E -5.92%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 11:51
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 11:50
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 11:51
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 11:50
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 11:50
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 11:51
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 11:50
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 11:50
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 11:51
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.297%E +0.108%K +0.170%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.79%E -6.89%K -23.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 11:50
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.53%E -0.565%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.44%E -2.26%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-07 17:20
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.53%E -0.565%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.34%E -3.59%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 17:40
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.26%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.34%E -3.59%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -2.62%E -0.982%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 17:35
SportsBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -2.62%E -0.982%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -2.99%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -2.17%E -1.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 16:51
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 17:35
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 16:51
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 17:35
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.34%E -3.59%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.52%E -5.92%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.08%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 09:00
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.08%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.52%E -5.92%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.44%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.44%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.52%E -5.92%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 17:35
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 17:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 13:35
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 18:25
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 17:35
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 17:35
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 17:35
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 17:36
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 17:40
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.25%E -4.96%K -15.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -5.54%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -1.53%E -0.988%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -5.54%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -1.53%E -0.988%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 18:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.44%E -2.26%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 18:25
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.34%E -3.59%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.88%E -5.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 17:40
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.36%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 16:56
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 16:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 16:46
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 16:45
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.98%E -4.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 16:56
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.98%E -4.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 16:55
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.88%E -5.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 17:41
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.88%E -5.44%K -17.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.44%E -2.26%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 16:55
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.44%E -2.26%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 16:56
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-08-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-07 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-07 18:20
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-07 18:25
Novig2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-07 18:25
ProphetX2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%1.3%2026-08-07 18:25
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%1.9%2026-08-07 17:56