Idioma:Español
Botic van de Zandschulp v Hubert Hurkacz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)
Predicción 36.47%2.74momio equitativo
EV +2.12%
Ventaja +0.757%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.81%36.45%36.59%38.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.642.622.8040.82%37.89%38.17%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante)
Predicción 63.53%1.57momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.988%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.71%63.55%63.41%66.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.481.491.5570.42%67.59%67.11%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 36.47%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visitante): 63.53%. Para Botic van de Zandschulp (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.74. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.12%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.52%E -5.92%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.52%E -5.92%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.52%E -5.92%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 11:51 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.12%E +0.757%K +1.18%G +0.025% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.15%E -6.40%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 11:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.297%E +0.108%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.79%E -6.89%K -23.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.53%E -0.565%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.44%E -2.26%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-07 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.53%E -0.565%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.34%E -3.59%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.26%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.34%E -3.59%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -2.62%E -0.982%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -2.62%E -0.982%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV -2.99%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -2.17%E -1.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-07 16:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 16:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.34%E -3.59%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.52%E -5.92%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 09:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.08%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 09:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.08%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.52%E -5.92%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.44%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.44%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.52%E -5.92%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 17:36 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.61%E -4.50%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 17:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.25%E -4.96%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -5.54%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -1.53%E -0.988%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -5.54%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -1.53%E -0.988%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.44%E -2.26%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.34%E -3.59%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.00%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.88%E -5.44%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.36%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 16:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.80%E -1.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 16:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.71%E -3.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.98%E -4.04%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 16:56 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.98%E -4.04%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.88%E -5.44%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 17:41 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.88%E -5.44%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.44%E -2.26%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.44%E -2.26%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 16:56 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 0.2% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70% | 1.3% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 1.9% | 2026-08-07 17:56 |