Language:English
Ben Shelton v Brandon Nakashima
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ben Shelton (Local)
Prediction 67.68%1.48fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -5.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%67.66%67.66%70.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.421.4473.53%71.06%70.67%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brandon Nakashima (Visit)
Prediction 32.32%3.09fair odd
EV +5.03%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +2.24%
Growth +0.113%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.81%32.34%32.34%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.952.953.2536.36%33.89%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ben Shelton (Local): 67.68%; Brandon Nakashima (Visit): 32.32%. For Brandon Nakashima (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +5.03%E +1.55%K +2.24%G +0.113% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 23:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV +3.42%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.053% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +1.80%E +0.572%K +0.838%G +0.015% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV +1.15%E +0.369%K +0.542%G +0.006% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -7.28%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV +0.832%E +0.267%K +0.392%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.185%E +0.060%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 23:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.185%E +0.060%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 23:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.185%E +0.060%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 23:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.43%E -0.469%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 23:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.43%E -0.469%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 23:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -2.40%E -0.795%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 23:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-13 23:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 23:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 22:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 23:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -4.99%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 23:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -5.63%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 23:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -5.63%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 23:57 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 23:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 23:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 23:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 19:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 23:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 23:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 23:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 23:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 23:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 23:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 23:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 23:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 23:57 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 08:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 23:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-13 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-13 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-13 23:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-13 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-13 23:50 |