Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton v Brandon Nakashima

Início: 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC

Final: Ben Shelton 2–0 Brandon Nakashima

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton (Local)

Previsão 67.68%1.48odd justa
EV -2.54%
Vantagem -1.76%
Kelly -5.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.63%67.66%67.66%70.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.411.421.4473.53%71.06%70.67%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Brandon Nakashima (Visitante)

Previsão 32.32%3.09odd justa
EV +5.03%
Vantagem +1.55%
Kelly +2.24%
Crescimento +0.113%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.81%32.34%32.34%34.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.952.953.2536.36%33.89%33.90%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ben Shelton (Local): 67.68%; Brandon Nakashima (Visitante): 32.32%. Para Brandon Nakashima (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.09. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.03%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +5.03%E +1.55%K +2.24%G +0.113%3.2%2026-08-13 23:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV +3.42%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.053%3.2%2026-08-13 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +1.80%E +0.572%K +0.838%G +0.015%3.2%2026-08-13 23:40
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV +1.15%E +0.369%K +0.542%G +0.006%2.4%2026-08-13 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -7.28%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV +0.832%E +0.267%K +0.392%G +0.003%5.0%2026-08-13 23:29
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.185%E +0.060%K +0.088%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-13 23:45
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.185%E +0.060%K +0.088%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:54
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.185%E +0.060%K +0.088%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:54
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.43%E -0.469%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.43%E -0.469%K -0.698%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -2.40%E -0.795%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 23:49
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:40
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:40
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:39
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:39
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:39
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 23:49
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 23:59
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 23:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 23:34
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 22:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 23:50
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -4.99%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 23:39
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -5.63%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 23:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -5.63%E -1.93%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 23:57
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-13 23:34
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 23:34
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 23:34
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 23:29
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 23:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 19:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 23:29
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 23:35
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 23:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 23:44
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 23:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 23:35
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 23:00
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 23:15
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 23:15
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 23:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-13 23:50
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 23:45
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 23:55
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 23:49
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 23:54
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 23:57
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 08:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 23:15
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 13:59
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.24%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 23:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-13 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-13 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-13 23:50
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-13 23:55
Novig◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24%1.0%2026-08-13 23:55
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-08-13 23:50
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-13 23:50