A Escola das Odds

Tomas Machac v Andrey Rublev

Início: 2026-04-17 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tomas Machac (Local)

Previsão 55.41%1.80odd justa
EV +29.11%
Vantagem +12.50%
Kelly +21.89%
Crescimento +6.37%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.93%53.75%56.14%61.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.992.152.3365.36%50.35%46.51%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Andrey Rublev (Visitante)

Previsão 44.59%2.24odd justa
EV +7.01%
Vantagem +2.92%
Kelly +5.01%
Crescimento +0.351%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.93%46.25%43.86%59.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.881.692.4064.10%53.21%59.35%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +29.11%E +12.50%K +21.89%G +6.37%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-17 10:55
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +28.01%E +12.12%K +21.38%G +5.99%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -27.77%E -17.14%K -44.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 10:59
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +27.45%E +11.94%K +21.12%G +5.80%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 11:03
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +27.45%E +11.94%K +21.12%G +5.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 11:04
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV +26.34%E +11.55%K +20.58%G +5.42%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -29.55%E -18.70%K -50.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV +26.34%E +11.55%K +20.58%G +5.42%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -29.55%E -18.70%K -50.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 10:54
ReBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV +25.23%E +11.17%K +20.03%G +5.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -26.88%E -16.39%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +24.68%E +10.97%K +19.74%G +4.87%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -27.77%E -17.14%K -44.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 10:54
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +24.68%E +10.97%K +19.74%G +4.87%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 11:04
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +24.68%E +10.97%K +19.74%G +4.87%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -30.45%E -19.52%K -54.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 10:54
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV +24.13%E +10.77%K +19.46%G +4.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -27.32%E -16.76%K -43.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 10:56
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV +21.91%E +9.96%K +18.26%G +4.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -21.97%E -12.56%K -29.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 11:04
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +21.91%E +9.96%K +18.26%G +4.00%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -25.54%E -15.29%K -38.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 11:02
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +21.91%E +9.96%K +18.26%G +4.00%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -25.54%E -15.29%K -38.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 11:02
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +21.91%E +9.96%K +18.26%G +4.00%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -25.99%E -15.65%K -39.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 11:02
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +19.69%E +9.12%K +16.98%G +3.34%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -22.42%E -12.88%K -30.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 11:04
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +19.69%E +9.12%K +16.98%G +3.34%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -22.42%E -12.88%K -30.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +19.14%E +8.90%K +16.64%G +3.19%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 11:02
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +19.14%E +8.90%K +16.64%G +3.19%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 11:02
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV +17.48%E +8.24%K +15.60%G +2.73%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -24.20%E -14.24%K -34.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:04
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV +16.92%E +8.02%K +15.25%G +2.58%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -23.31%E -13.55%K -32.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 11:03
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +16.37%E +7.79%K +14.88%G +2.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -25.54%E -15.29%K -38.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 10:56
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +16.37%E +7.79%K +14.88%G +2.44%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 10:59
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 11:14
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 11:14
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 11:14
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.60%E -4.19%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:15
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.83%E -5.41%K -10.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 11:14
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 11:14
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 11:14
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.60%E -4.19%K -8.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 11:15
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 11:15
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 11:15
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 11:13
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:15
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:15
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:15
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:14
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -11.34%E -7.09%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +7.01%E +2.92%K +5.01%G +0.351%4.2%2026-04-17 11:14
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.34%E -7.09%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.319%E +0.142%K +0.256%G +0.001%6.9%2026-04-17 11:14
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -13.00%E -8.28%K -22.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +7.01%E +2.92%K +5.01%G +0.351%5.4%2026-04-17 11:14
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -13.00%E -8.28%K -22.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +2.55%E +1.11%K +1.96%G +0.050%7.2%2026-04-17 11:14
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -13.55%E -8.69%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +4.78%E +2.03%K +3.54%G +0.169%6.7%2026-04-17 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -14.11%E -9.10%K -25.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +2.55%E +1.11%K +1.96%G +0.050%8.0%2026-04-17 11:14
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -14.66%E -9.52%K -27.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -15.22%E -9.95%K -28.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +7.01%E +2.92%K +5.01%G +0.351%7.0%2026-04-17 11:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -15.22%E -9.95%K -28.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +6.12%E +2.57%K +4.43%G +0.271%7.4%2026-04-17 11:14
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -15.22%E -9.95%K -28.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +6.12%E +2.57%K +4.43%G +0.271%7.4%2026-04-17 11:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-04-17 11:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-04-17 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-04-17 11:14
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-04-17 11:15
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-04-17 11:14
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%3.8%2026-04-17 11:14
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%5.8%2026-04-17 11:15