La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tomas Machac v Andrey Rublev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tomas Machac (Local)
Predicción 55.41%1.80momio equitativo
EV +29.11%
Ventaja +12.50%
Kelly +21.89%
Crecimiento +6.37%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.93%53.75%56.14%61.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.992.152.3365.36%50.35%46.51%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Andrey Rublev (Visitante)
Predicción 44.59%2.24momio equitativo
EV +7.01%
Ventaja +2.92%
Kelly +5.01%
Crecimiento +0.351%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.93%46.25%43.86%59.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.881.692.4064.10%53.21%59.35%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +29.11%E +12.50%K +21.89%G +6.37% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-17 10:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Bally Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +28.01%E +12.12%K +21.38%G +5.99% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -27.77%E -17.14%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 10:59 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +27.45%E +11.94%K +21.12%G +5.80% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 11:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +27.45%E +11.94%K +21.12%G +5.80% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 11:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV +26.34%E +11.55%K +20.58%G +5.42% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -29.55%E -18.70%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV +26.34%E +11.55%K +20.58%G +5.42% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -29.55%E -18.70%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| ReBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV +25.23%E +11.17%K +20.03%G +5.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -26.88%E -16.39%K -42.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +24.68%E +10.97%K +19.74%G +4.87% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -27.77%E -17.14%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +24.68%E +10.97%K +19.74%G +4.87% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 11:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +24.68%E +10.97%K +19.74%G +4.87% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -30.45%E -19.52%K -54.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 10:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV +24.13%E +10.77%K +19.46%G +4.69% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -27.32%E -16.76%K -43.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 10:56 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV +21.91%E +9.96%K +18.26%G +4.00% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -21.97%E -12.56%K -29.30%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 11:04 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +21.91%E +9.96%K +18.26%G +4.00% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -25.54%E -15.29%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 11:02 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +21.91%E +9.96%K +18.26%G +4.00% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -25.54%E -15.29%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 11:02 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +21.91%E +9.96%K +18.26%G +4.00% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -25.99%E -15.65%K -39.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 11:02 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +19.69%E +9.12%K +16.98%G +3.34% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -22.42%E -12.88%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 11:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +19.69%E +9.12%K +16.98%G +3.34% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -22.42%E -12.88%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +19.14%E +8.90%K +16.64%G +3.19% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 11:02 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +19.14%E +8.90%K +16.64%G +3.19% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 11:02 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV +17.48%E +8.24%K +15.60%G +2.73% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -24.20%E -14.24%K -34.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV +16.92%E +8.02%K +15.25%G +2.58% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -23.31%E -13.55%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 11:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +16.37%E +7.79%K +14.88%G +2.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -25.54%E -15.29%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 10:56 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +16.37%E +7.79%K +14.88%G +2.44% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 10:59 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.60%E -4.19%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.83%E -5.41%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.60%E -4.19%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 11:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 11:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 11:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 11:13 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 11:15 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -11.34%E -7.09%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +7.01%E +2.92%K +5.01%G +0.351% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.34%E -7.09%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.319%E +0.142%K +0.256%G +0.001% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -13.00%E -8.28%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +7.01%E +2.92%K +5.01%G +0.351% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -13.00%E -8.28%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +2.55%E +1.11%K +1.96%G +0.050% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -13.55%E -8.69%K -24.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +4.78%E +2.03%K +3.54%G +0.169% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -14.11%E -9.10%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +2.55%E +1.11%K +1.96%G +0.050% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -14.66%E -9.52%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -15.22%E -9.95%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +7.01%E +2.92%K +5.01%G +0.351% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -15.22%E -9.95%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +6.12%E +2.57%K +4.43%G +0.271% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -15.22%E -9.95%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +6.12%E +2.57%K +4.43%G +0.271% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 11:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| ProphetX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 11:14 |
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:15 |