مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tomas Machac v Andrey Rublev

البداية: 2026-04-17 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tomas Machac (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.41%1.80السعر العادل
EV +29.11%
الأفضلية +12.50%
Kelly +21.89%
النمو +6.37%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.93%53.75%56.14%61.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.992.152.3365.36%50.35%46.51%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Andrey Rublev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.59%2.24السعر العادل
EV +7.01%
الأفضلية +2.92%
Kelly +5.01%
النمو +0.351%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.93%46.25%43.86%59.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.881.692.4064.10%53.21%59.35%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +29.11%E +12.50%K +21.89%G +6.37%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-17 10:55
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +28.56%E +12.31%K +21.64%G +6.18%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +28.01%E +12.12%K +21.38%G +5.99%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -27.77%E -17.14%K -44.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 10:59
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +27.45%E +11.94%K +21.12%G +5.80%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 11:03
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +27.45%E +11.94%K +21.12%G +5.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 11:04
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV +26.34%E +11.55%K +20.58%G +5.42%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -29.55%E -18.70%K -50.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV +26.34%E +11.55%K +20.58%G +5.42%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -29.55%E -18.70%K -50.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 10:54
ReBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV +25.23%E +11.17%K +20.03%G +5.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -26.88%E -16.39%K -42.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:54
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +24.68%E +10.97%K +19.74%G +4.87%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -27.77%E -17.14%K -44.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 10:54
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +24.68%E +10.97%K +19.74%G +4.87%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -28.22%E -17.53%K -46.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 11:04
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +24.68%E +10.97%K +19.74%G +4.87%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -30.45%E -19.52%K -54.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 10:54
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV +24.13%E +10.77%K +19.46%G +4.69%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -27.32%E -16.76%K -43.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 10:56
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV +21.91%E +9.96%K +18.26%G +4.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -21.97%E -12.56%K -29.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 11:04
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +21.91%E +9.96%K +18.26%G +4.00%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -25.54%E -15.29%K -38.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 11:02
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +21.91%E +9.96%K +18.26%G +4.00%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -25.54%E -15.29%K -38.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 11:02
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +21.91%E +9.96%K +18.26%G +4.00%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -25.99%E -15.65%K -39.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 11:02
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +19.69%E +9.12%K +16.98%G +3.34%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -22.42%E -12.88%K -30.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 11:04
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +19.69%E +9.12%K +16.98%G +3.34%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -22.42%E -12.88%K -30.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +19.14%E +8.90%K +16.64%G +3.19%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 11:02
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +19.14%E +8.90%K +16.64%G +3.19%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 11:02
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV +17.48%E +8.24%K +15.60%G +2.73%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -24.20%E -14.24%K -34.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:04
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV +16.92%E +8.02%K +15.25%G +2.58%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -23.31%E -13.55%K -32.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 11:03
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +16.37%E +7.79%K +14.88%G +2.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -25.54%E -15.29%K -38.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 10:56
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +16.37%E +7.79%K +14.88%G +2.44%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -26.43%E -16.02%K -40.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 10:59
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 11:14
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 11:14
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 11:14
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.60%E -4.19%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:15
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.83%E -5.41%K -10.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 11:14
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 11:14
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 11:14
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.60%E -4.19%K -8.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 11:15
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 11:15
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 11:15
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -10.23%E -6.31%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 11:13
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:15
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:15
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:15
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.78%E -6.70%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:14
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -11.34%E -7.09%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +7.01%E +2.92%K +5.01%G +0.351%4.2%2026-04-17 11:14
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.34%E -7.09%K -18.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.319%E +0.142%K +0.256%G +0.001%6.9%2026-04-17 11:14
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -13.00%E -8.28%K -22.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +7.01%E +2.92%K +5.01%G +0.351%5.4%2026-04-17 11:14
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -13.00%E -8.28%K -22.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +2.55%E +1.11%K +1.96%G +0.050%7.2%2026-04-17 11:14
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -13.55%E -8.69%K -24.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +4.78%E +2.03%K +3.54%G +0.169%6.7%2026-04-17 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -14.11%E -9.10%K -25.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +2.55%E +1.11%K +1.96%G +0.050%8.0%2026-04-17 11:14
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -14.66%E -9.52%K -27.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -15.22%E -9.95%K -28.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +7.01%E +2.92%K +5.01%G +0.351%7.0%2026-04-17 11:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -15.22%E -9.95%K -28.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +6.12%E +2.57%K +4.43%G +0.271%7.4%2026-04-17 11:14
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -15.22%E -9.95%K -28.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +6.12%E +2.57%K +4.43%G +0.271%7.4%2026-04-17 11:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-04-17 11:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-04-17 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-04-17 11:14
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-04-17 11:15
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-04-17 11:14
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%3.8%2026-04-17 11:14
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%5.8%2026-04-17 11:15