The School of Odds

Carlos Alcaraz v Otto Virtanen

Matchstart: 2026-04-14 14:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma)

Prognos 93.88%1.07rättvist odds
EV -3.30%
Fördel -3.21%
Kelly -110.07%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.03

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
90.74%93.86%93.83%96.63%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.011.021.011.0399.01%98.50%99.01%97.09%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Otto Virtanen (Borta)

Prognos 6.12%16.34rättvist odds
EV +77.44%
Fördel +2.67%
Kelly +2.77%
Tillväxt +2.14%

med antagandet om högsta odds 29.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
3.37%6.14%6.17%9.26%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
10.0015.4415.0029.0010.00%6.48%6.67%3.45%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +77.44%E +2.67%K +2.77%G +2.14%2.5%2026-04-14 14:05
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +40.73%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.754%2.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Sky Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +40.73%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.754%2.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 95.63%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000%22.54I 4.44%NM 4.37%EV +37.91%E +1.68%K +1.76%G +0.667%1.5%2026-04-14 14:05
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +28.49%E +1.36%K +1.42%G +0.406%3.8%2026-04-14 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +22.37%E +1.12%K +1.18%G +0.263%3.0%2026-04-14 14:05
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +16.25%E +0.855%K +0.903%G +0.147%3.3%2026-04-14 14:05
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +16.25%E +0.855%K +0.903%G +0.147%4.3%2026-04-14 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +10.13%E +0.563%K +0.596%G +0.060%3.6%2026-04-14 14:05
Bovada1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +10.13%E +0.563%K +0.596%G +0.060%4.6%2026-04-14 13:58
1xBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.51%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%17.40I 5.75%NM 5.49%EV +6.46%E +0.371%K +0.394%G +0.025%4.8%2026-04-14 14:05
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +4.02%E +0.236%K +0.251%G +0.010%3.0%2026-04-14 14:05
Marathon Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.15%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%16.25I 6.15%NM 5.85%EV -0.574%E -0.035%K -0.038%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:00
ReBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -2.10%E -0.131%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 13:59
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -2.10%E -0.131%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 14:05
LowVig.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -5.16%E -0.333%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 14:05
BetOnline.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -5.16%E -0.333%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 14:05
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 14:05
Unibet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Unibet (NL)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:04
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
TABtouch1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Grosvenor1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Casumo1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
BetRivers1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
ATG (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Bally Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:04
betPARX1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Svenska Spel1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Coolbet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.39%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%14.40I 6.94%NM 6.61%EV -11.89%E -0.826%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 14:05
Bet Right1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -14.34%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:05
Codere (IT)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -14.34%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 14:01
PlayUp1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 14:05
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 14:02
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -23.52%E -1.88%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 14:05
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -23.52%E -1.88%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:04
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -23.52%E -1.88%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:05
William Hill1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 14:05
888sport1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:59
888sport (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:59
BetMGM1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 14:04
TAB1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 14:05
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -32.70%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 13:59
Bet Victor1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -38.81%E -3.88%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32%0.4%2026-04-14 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.64%1.7%2026-04-14 14:05
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 96.27%26.32I 3.80%NM 3.73%1.8%2026-04-14 14:05
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%1.9%2026-04-14 14:05