Idioma:Português
Carlos Alcaraz v Otto Virtanen
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Previsão 93.88%1.07odd justa
EV -3.30%
Vantagem -3.21%
Kelly -110.07%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.03
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.74%93.86%93.83%96.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.021.011.0399.01%98.50%99.01%97.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Otto Virtanen (Visitante)
Previsão 6.12%16.34odd justa
EV +77.44%
Vantagem +2.67%
Kelly +2.77%
Crescimento +2.14%
pressupondo odds máximas de 29.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.37%6.14%6.17%9.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
10.0015.4415.0029.0010.00%6.48%6.67%3.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Carlos Alcaraz (Local): 93.88%; Otto Virtanen (Visitante): 6.12%. Para Otto Virtanen (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 16.34. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 29.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +77.44%.
Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +77.44%E +2.67%K +2.77%G +2.14% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +40.73%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.754% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +40.73%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.754% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.63%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 22.54I 4.44%NM 4.37%EV +37.91%E +1.68%K +1.76%G +0.667% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +28.49%E +1.36%K +1.42%G +0.406% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +22.37%E +1.12%K +1.18%G +0.263% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +16.25%E +0.855%K +0.903%G +0.147% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +16.25%E +0.855%K +0.903%G +0.147% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +10.13%E +0.563%K +0.596%G +0.060% | 3.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +10.13%E +0.563%K +0.596%G +0.060% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 13:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.51%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 17.40I 5.75%NM 5.49%EV +6.46%E +0.371%K +0.394%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +4.02%E +0.236%K +0.251%G +0.010% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.15%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.85%EV -0.574%E -0.035%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -2.10%E -0.131%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -2.10%E -0.131%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -5.16%E -0.333%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -5.16%E -0.333%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.39%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 14.40I 6.94%NM 6.61%EV -11.89%E -0.826%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -14.34%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -14.34%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 14:02 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -23.52%E -1.88%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -23.52%E -1.88%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -23.52%E -1.88%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -32.70%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -38.81%E -3.88%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36% | 27.03I 3.70%NM 3.64% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.27% | 26.32I 3.80%NM 3.73% | 1.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |