Język:Polski
Carlos Alcaraz v Otto Virtanen
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Carlos Alcaraz (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 93.88%1.07kurs godziwy
EV -3.30%
Przewaga -3.21%
Kelly -110.07%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.03
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
90.74%93.86%93.83%96.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.011.021.011.0399.01%98.50%99.01%97.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Otto Virtanen (Goście)
Prognoza 6.12%16.34kurs godziwy
EV +77.44%
Przewaga +2.67%
Kelly +2.77%
Wzrost +2.14%
przy maksymalnym kursie 29.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
3.37%6.14%6.17%9.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
10.0015.4415.0029.0010.00%6.48%6.67%3.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Carlos Alcaraz (Gospodarze): 93.88%; Otto Virtanen (Goście): 6.12%. Dla wyniku Otto Virtanen (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 16.34. 12 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 29.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +77.44%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +77.44%E +2.67%K +2.77%G +2.14% | 2.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +40.73%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.754% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +40.73%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.754% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.63%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 22.54I 4.44%NM 4.37%EV +37.91%E +1.68%K +1.76%G +0.667% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +28.49%E +1.36%K +1.42%G +0.406% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +22.37%E +1.12%K +1.18%G +0.263% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +16.25%E +0.855%K +0.903%G +0.147% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +16.25%E +0.855%K +0.903%G +0.147% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +10.13%E +0.563%K +0.596%G +0.060% | 3.6% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +10.13%E +0.563%K +0.596%G +0.060% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 13:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.51%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 17.40I 5.75%NM 5.49%EV +6.46%E +0.371%K +0.394%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +4.02%E +0.236%K +0.251%G +0.010% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.15%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.85%EV -0.574%E -0.035%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -2.10%E -0.131%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -2.10%E -0.131%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -5.16%E -0.333%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -5.16%E -0.333%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.22%E -0.548%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.39%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 14.40I 6.94%NM 6.61%EV -11.89%E -0.826%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -14.34%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -14.34%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.46%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 14:02 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -23.52%E -1.88%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -23.52%E -1.88%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -23.52%E -1.88%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.30%E -3.21%K -110.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -26.58%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.18%E -5.13%K -517.97%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -32.70%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.24%E -4.16%K -212.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -38.81%E -3.88%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 14:04 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36% | 27.03I 3.70%NM 3.64% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.27% | 26.32I 3.80%NM 3.73% | 1.8% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 14:05 |