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Cameron Norrie v Stan Wawrinka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cameron Norrie (Local)
Prediction 74.20%1.35fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -11.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.81%74.32%74.20%76.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.281.3080.65%78.28%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stan Wawrinka (Visit)
Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV +5.79%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +1.87%
Growth +0.108%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.65%25.68%25.80%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.654.1029.41%27.41%27.40%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cameron Norrie (Local): 74.20%; Stan Wawrinka (Visit): 25.80%. For Stan Wawrinka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +5.79%E +1.41%K +1.87%G +0.108% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +0.629%E +0.161%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.661%E -0.172%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.54%E -2.73%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.54%E -2.73%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.54%E -2.73%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 14:00 |