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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Cameron Norrie v Stan Wawrinka

开赛时间： 2026-04-13 14:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cameron Norrie (主队)

预测 74.20%1.35公平赔率
EV -3.54%
优势 -2.73%
Kelly -11.81%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.30

博彩公司预测分布
72.81%74.32%74.20%76.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.241.281.281.3080.65%78.28%78.13%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

Stan Wawrinka (客队)

预测 25.80%3.88公平赔率
EV +5.79%
优势 +1.41%
Kelly +1.87%
增长率 +0.108%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
23.65%25.68%25.80%27.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.653.654.1029.41%27.41%27.40%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cameron Norrie (主队)：74.20%；Stan Wawrinka (客队)：25.80%。 对于“Stan Wawrinka (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.88。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.10，对应+5.79%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +5.79%E +1.41%K +1.87%G +0.108%3.1%2026-04-13 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +0.629%E +0.161%K +0.217%G +0.001%5.6%2026-04-13 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -7.99%E -6.45%K -33.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.661%E -0.172%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.54%E -2.73%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 13:59
Betway🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.54%E -2.73%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.54%E -2.73%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 14:00
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 14:00
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 14:00
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.28%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 13:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 14:00
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.51%E -5.17%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.25%E -5.80%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-13 14:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-13 14:00