Language:English
Cameron Norrie v Ethan Quinn
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cameron Norrie (Local)
Prediction 62.87%1.59fair odd
EV -0.669%
Edge -0.424%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.87%62.72%62.96%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.501.5870.42%66.93%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ethan Quinn (Visit)
Prediction 37.13%2.69fair odd
EV +2.86%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%37.28%37.04%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.532.552.7742.02%39.48%39.22%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cameron Norrie (Local): 62.87%; Ethan Quinn (Visit): 37.13%. For Ethan Quinn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -8.21%E -5.63%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +2.86%E +1.03%K +1.61%G +0.046% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 15:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV +1.00%E +0.368%K +0.581%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 15:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.60%E -0.603%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 15:51 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.34%E -0.890%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.47%E -6.58%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 15:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 15:53 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 15:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.20%E -1.63%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -0.669%E -0.424%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -4.94%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.84%E -6.10%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 15:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.43%E -2.55%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:57 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 15:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 15:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.84%E -6.10%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 15:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.84%E -6.10%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 15:57 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.84%E -6.10%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.47%E -6.58%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.47%E -6.58%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -10.10%E -7.06%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.67%EV -8.28%E -3.35%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-15 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -10.73%E -7.55%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 15:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 15:57 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.62%E -4.88%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.62%E -4.88%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.62%E -4.88%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 15:48 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.14% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.86% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-04-15 16:01 |