L’École des cotes

Cameron Norrie v Ethan Quinn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 16:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cameron Norrie (Local)

Prévision 62.87%1.59cote équitable
EV -0.669%
Avantage -0.424%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.87%62.72%62.96%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.501.5870.42%66.93%66.67%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ethan Quinn (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.13%2.69cote équitable
EV +2.86%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%37.28%37.04%39.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.532.552.7742.02%39.48%39.22%36.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -8.21%E -5.63%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +2.86%E +1.03%K +1.61%G +0.046%4.6%2026-04-15 15:59
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV +1.00%E +0.368%K +0.581%G +0.006%4.3%2026-04-15 15:49
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.60%E -0.603%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 15:51
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.34%E -0.890%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-15 16:00
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.18%E -2.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-15 16:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.47%E -6.58%K -21.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 16:00
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 16:00
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 15:49
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 16:00
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 16:00
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 16:01
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 16:01
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 16:00
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 15:53
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 16:00
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.46%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:53
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.07%E -3.36%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.20%E -1.63%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 16:00
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 16:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -4.57%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 16:01
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -0.669%E -0.424%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -4.94%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 16:01
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:00
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:00
Codere (IT)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:00
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 16:00
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 16:00
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 15:59
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 16:01
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 16:00
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.58%E -5.16%K -16.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 16:01
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.84%E -6.10%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 15:49
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.43%E -2.55%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:57
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 16:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 15:59
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 15:53
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 16:00
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 16:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 16:01
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 16:01
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.84%E -6.10%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 15:59
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.84%E -6.10%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 15:57
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.84%E -6.10%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.47%E -6.58%K -21.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 16:01
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.47%E -6.58%K -21.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.17%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 16:00
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -10.10%E -7.06%K -23.49%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.67%EV -8.28%E -3.35%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 15:50
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 16:00
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -10.73%E -7.55%K -25.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.03%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 16:01
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 16:00
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 16:00
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.44%E -2.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 16:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 15:59
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.70%E -3.80%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 15:57
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.62%E -4.88%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 16:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.62%E -4.88%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 16:01
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.81%E -2.49%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.62%E -4.88%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-04-15 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-04-15 16:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-15 16:01
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-15 16:01
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-04-15 15:48
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.14%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.86%1.2%2026-04-15 16:00
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-04-15 16:01