Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC v Portland Timbers

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 02:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local)

Prediction 72.46%1.38fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.37%72.35%72.56%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.291.3680.65%77.61%77.52%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Timbers (Visit)

Prediction 11.11%9.00fair odd
EV +11.08%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.136%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.48%11.13%11.02%13.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.498.5010.0014.81%11.78%11.76%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.43%6.09fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.238%
Kelly -0.286%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.27%16.52%16.42%18.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.605.606.0020.00%17.86%17.86%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local): 72.46%; Portland Timbers (Visit): 11.11%; Draw: 16.43%. For Portland Timbers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.00. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV +11.08%E +1.11%K +1.23%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 02:15
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +8.85%E +0.904%K +1.01%G +0.089%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -11.29%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 02:10
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +8.85%E +0.904%K +1.01%G +0.089%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -11.29%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 02:09
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.93%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.98%G +0.000%9.77I 10.24%NM 9.93%EV +8.52%E +0.872%K +0.972%G +0.083%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.14%EV -7.01%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 02:20
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +5.52%E +0.581%K +0.650%G +0.036%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 02:13
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%9.37I 10.67%NM 10.20%EV +4.08%E +0.435%K +0.487%G +0.020%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.28%EV -3.56%E -0.607%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 02:14
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 72.18%EV -1.45%E -1.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.18I 10.89%NM 10.69%EV +1.97%E +0.214%K +0.241%G +0.005%5.73I 17.45%NM 17.13%EV -5.86%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-05 02:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.20%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.56%EV +1.63%E +0.179%K +0.201%G +0.003%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.24%EV -2.25%E -0.378%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 09:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.20%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.56%EV +1.63%E +0.179%K +0.201%G +0.003%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.24%EV -2.25%E -0.378%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 02:09
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 02:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 02:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 02:09
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:09
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 02:20
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 02:04
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.75%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 02:09
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.44%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV -2.81%E -0.321%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.63%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 10:20
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -2.81%E -0.321%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -8.00%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 02:15
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -2.81%E -0.321%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -8.00%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 02:14
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 02:10
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:10
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:10
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:15
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:09
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:09
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 02:10
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -7.97%E -6.28%K -29.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 02:24
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 02:24
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 02:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 02:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 02:24
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.00%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 02:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.98%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -8.00%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:09
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 02:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -10.14%E -8.18%K -42.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -10.14%E -8.18%K -42.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -8.36%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV -8.92%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 02:24
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.43%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.44%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -8.92%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.44%EV -8.82%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -11.14%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 22:54
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -11.14%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 02:19
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.14%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 02:00
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -11.14%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -13.75%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 10:25
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -11.14%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 02:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.79%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.12%EV -14.47%E -1.88%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 02:19
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -16.69%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 02:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -16.69%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 02:20
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -16.69%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -16.69%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.02%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -16.69%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -13.75%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 02:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.02%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.09%EV -17.80%E -2.41%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -12.93%E -2.44%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 02:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.57%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -19.47%E -2.69%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 02:20
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -22.25%E -3.18%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.37%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -25.02%E -3.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -12.93%E -2.44%K -3.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 02:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-04-05 02:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-04-05 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-04-05 02:20
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-04-05 02:20
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.45%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.81%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%1.8%2026-04-05 02:00
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.38%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73%2.5%2026-04-05 02:25