La escuela de los momios

Vancouver Whitecaps FC v Portland Timbers

Inicio: 2026-04-05 02:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Local)

Predicción 72.46%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -4.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.37%72.35%72.56%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.291.291.3680.65%77.61%77.52%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portland Timbers (Visitante)

Predicción 11.11%9.00momio equitativo
EV +11.08%
Ventaja +1.11%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.136%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.48%11.13%11.02%13.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.758.498.5010.0014.81%11.78%11.76%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 16.43%6.09momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.238%
Kelly -0.286%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.27%16.52%16.42%18.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.605.606.0020.00%17.86%17.86%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Caesars1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV +11.08%E +1.11%K +1.23%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 02:15
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +8.85%E +0.904%K +1.01%G +0.089%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -11.29%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 02:10
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +8.85%E +0.904%K +1.01%G +0.089%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -11.29%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 02:09
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.93%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.98%G +0.000%9.77I 10.24%NM 9.93%EV +8.52%E +0.872%K +0.972%G +0.083%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.14%EV -7.01%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 02:20
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +5.52%E +0.581%K +0.650%G +0.036%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 02:13
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%9.37I 10.67%NM 10.20%EV +4.08%E +0.435%K +0.487%G +0.020%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.28%EV -3.56%E -0.607%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 02:14
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.18%EV -1.45%E -1.07%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.18I 10.89%NM 10.69%EV +1.97%E +0.214%K +0.241%G +0.005%5.73I 17.45%NM 17.13%EV -5.86%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-05 02:24
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.20%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.56%EV +1.63%E +0.179%K +0.201%G +0.003%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.24%EV -2.25%E -0.378%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 09:44
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 73.20%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.56%EV +1.63%E +0.179%K +0.201%G +0.003%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.24%EV -2.25%E -0.378%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 02:09
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 02:09
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 02:09
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 02:09
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:09
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 02:20
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 02:04
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -0.032%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -13.75%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 02:09
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.44%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.59%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV -2.81%E -0.321%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.63%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 10:20
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -2.81%E -0.321%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -8.00%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 02:15
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -2.81%E -0.321%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -8.00%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 02:14
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 02:10
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:14
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:10
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:09
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:10
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:15
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:09
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 02:09
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 02:10
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -7.97%E -6.28%K -29.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 02:24
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 02:24
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 02:24
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 02:24
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -17.86%E -3.57%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 02:24
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.00%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 02:09
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.98%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -8.00%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 02:20
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -10.14%E -8.18%K -42.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 02:09
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -10.14%E -8.18%K -42.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -5.59%E -0.657%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 02:10
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -8.36%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:24
MyBookie.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 72.32%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV -8.92%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 02:24
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 72.43%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.44%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.13%EV -8.92%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.44%EV -8.82%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:24
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -11.14%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.54%E -0.963%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 22:54
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.43%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -11.14%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 02:19
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -11.14%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 02:00
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -11.14%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -13.75%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 10:25
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -11.14%E -1.39%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -1.43%E -0.238%K -0.286%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 02:19
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.79%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.12%EV -14.47%E -1.88%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 02:19
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -16.69%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 02:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -16.69%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 02:20
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -16.69%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -16.69%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:20
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.02%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -16.69%E -2.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -13.75%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 02:20
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.02%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.09%EV -17.80%E -2.41%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -12.93%E -2.44%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 02:19
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.57%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -19.47%E -2.69%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -4.71%E -0.813%K -0.982%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 02:20
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -22.25%E -3.18%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -9.64%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.37%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -25.02%E -3.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -12.93%E -2.44%K -3.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 02:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-04-05 02:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-04-05 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-04-05 02:20
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.06%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.5%2026-04-05 02:20
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.45%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.81%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%1.8%2026-04-05 02:00
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.38%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73%2.5%2026-04-05 02:25