Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto FC v Chicago Fire

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 23:30 UTC

Final: Toronto FC 4–4 Chicago Fire

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto FC (Local)

Prediction 34.48%2.90fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.586%
Kelly +0.887%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.30%34.34%34.51%35.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.742.9540.00%36.56%36.50%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Fire (Visit)

Prediction 40.05%2.50fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.84%40.17%40.04%41.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.302.302.4246.73%43.45%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.47%3.93fair odd
EV -0.667%
Edge -0.171%
Kelly -0.230%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.40%25.49%25.44%27.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.603.9029.41%27.53%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto FC (Local): 34.48%; Chicago Fire (Visit): 40.05%; Draw: 25.47%. For Toronto FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV +1.73%E +0.586%K +0.887%G +0.015%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:16
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV +1.73%E +0.586%K +0.887%G +0.015%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:16
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV +1.73%E +0.586%K +0.887%G +0.015%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:16
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV +0.005%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV +0.005%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -0.685%E -0.238%K -0.364%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:16
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -0.685%E -0.238%K -0.364%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:14
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -0.685%E -0.238%K -0.364%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -0.685%E -0.238%K -0.364%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:15
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -0.685%E -0.238%K -0.364%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:15
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -0.685%E -0.238%K -0.364%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:15
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -0.685%E -0.238%K -0.364%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:15
1xBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.28%EV -2.41%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.26%EV -3.49%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.46%EV -2.96%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.54%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.13%EV -3.49%E -1.45%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -2.70%E -0.708%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-05 23:16
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -5.09%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -0.667%E -0.171%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-05 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -5.09%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -0.667%E -0.171%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-05 23:10
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.49%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -5.09%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -0.667%E -0.171%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-05 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.90%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -11.90%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-05 23:16
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -12.70%E -5.83%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -12.13%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:15
ReBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.88%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.21%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-05 23:05
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:25
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.09%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -1.94%E -0.504%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.21%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:08
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.31%EV -13.50%E -6.25%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.54%EV -14.30%E -6.68%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-05 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.54%EV -14.30%E -6.68%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-05 23:16
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.09%E -3.06%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.73%EV -6.20%E -2.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:25
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.73%EV -6.20%E -2.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:26
Caesars🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.63%EV -6.20%E -2.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.91%EV -5.49%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:11
Bovada🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -6.20%E -2.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.67%EV -5.09%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -7.03%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:23
GTbets🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.35%EV -6.20%E -2.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.27%EV -7.09%E -3.06%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.83%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.66%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:10
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -3.21%E -0.846%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:05
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:25
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-05 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-05 23:15
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:04
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -5.89%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-05 23:25
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.70%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -9.31%E -3.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.04%EV -9.10%E -4.01%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.39%EV -8.82%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:09
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:25
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:25
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:25
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -7.03%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -7.03%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.63%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.01%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -9.58%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -12.06%E -4.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -9.90%E -4.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-05 23:05
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -11.90%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-09-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-09-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-09-05 23:20
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-09-05 23:26
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-09-05 23:20
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-09-05 23:20