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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Toronto FC v Chicago Fire

2026-09-05 23:30 UTC — MLS

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Toronto FC (主队)

预测 31.61%3.16公平赔率
EV -2.95%
优势 -0.960%
Kelly -1.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.07

博彩公司预测分布
31.15%31.61%31.70%31.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.912.903.0737.04%34.34%34.48%32.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Fire (客队)

预测 43.94%2.28公平赔率
EV +4.59%
优势 +1.93%
Kelly +3.32%
增长率 +0.153%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
40.69%43.39%43.83%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.982.142.132.3850.51%46.82%46.95%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.44%4.09公平赔率
EV -2.23%
优势 -0.558%
Kelly -0.744%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.84%25.00%24.47%27.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.643.674.0030.30%27.43%27.21%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Toronto FC (主队)：31.61%；Chicago Fire (客队)：43.94%；平局：24.44%。 对于“Chicago Fire (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.28。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.38，由此产生+4.59%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.58%EV -2.95%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.73%EV +4.59%E +1.93%K +3.32%G +0.153%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -14.45%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 14:15
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -1.12%E -0.500%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -19.34%E -5.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 14:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -1.12%E -0.500%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -19.34%E -5.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -1.12%E -0.500%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -19.34%E -5.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -1.12%E -0.500%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -19.34%E -5.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 14:10
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -4.64%E -2.14%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -5.90%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 14:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.23%E -0.558%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:10
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.90%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 12:20
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.52%E -2.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -5.90%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 12:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.15%EV -6.11%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.85%EV -7.28%E -3.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 14:10
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.72%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.68%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 12:10
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.72%E -3.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 12:10
ReBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.21%EV -7.69%E -2.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.82%EV -8.60%E -4.13%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 14:04
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.91%E -4.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 14:20
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.91%E -4.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 14:19
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -8.95%E -3.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.91%E -4.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 14:04
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.91%E -4.84%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 12:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.06%E -4.75%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -12.11%E -6.06%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-23 14:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -14.64%E -5.42%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -12.99%E -6.56%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -14.45%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-23 14:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 31.41%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.86%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%5.1%2026-08-23 14:10
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 31.14%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.66%16.3%2026-08-23 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-23 12:25
套利（1 种组合） +0.41%1xBet 3.07 (32.7%) / 1xBet 2.38 (42.2%) / SportsBet 4.00 (25.1%)显示详情
Toronto FC (主队)Chicago Fire (客队)平局利润率
1xBet🎯 3.07 (32.7%)1xBet🎯 2.38 (42.2%)SportsBet🎯 4.00 (25.1%)+0.412%