Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Earthquakes v San Diego FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 02:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Earthquakes (Local)

Prediction 41.86%2.39fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.93%41.86%41.86%42.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.232.3048.78%44.98%44.84%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego FC (Visit)

Prediction 32.81%3.05fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.864%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.27%32.84%32.75%33.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.852.9738.46%35.35%35.09%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV +1.32%
Edge +0.330%
Kelly +0.440%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.92%25.30%25.39%26.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.704.0029.41%27.24%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Earthquakes (Local): 41.86%; San Diego FC (Visit): 32.81%; Draw: 25.33%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +1.32%E +0.330%K +0.440%G +0.006%4.5%2026-04-05 02:05
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.35%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.22%EV -4.21%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.43%EV +0.560%E +0.141%K +0.189%G +0.001%3.1%2026-04-05 02:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.04%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.11%EV -4.21%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.85%EV -1.47%E -0.377%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.04%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.11%EV -4.21%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.85%EV -1.47%E -0.377%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 01:50
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.46%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.59%EV -2.57%E -0.864%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.95%EV -1.72%E -0.443%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 02:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 02:05
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.63%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.68%EV -5.85%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:19
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 11:20
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -3.22%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 02:04
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -3.22%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -3.22%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -3.22%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 02:05
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.32%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 02:04
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 02:22
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 02:04
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 01:54
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 02:04
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -4.21%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 01:44
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -4.21%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 01:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 21:33
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 06:29
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:04
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:04
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:04
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:05
BetUS🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 02:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 01:49
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.72%EV -4.54%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.88%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 02:04
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 02:04
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 02:00
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 02:09
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 01:38
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 01:35
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 02:09
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 02:04
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:24
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:24
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 02:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -9.32%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 01:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -8.74%E -4.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 02:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.63%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-03 05:40
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 02:04
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 02:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 02:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 02:04
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -14.05%E -5.36%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 01:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.97%EV -10.83%E -5.08%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -9.13%E -3.30%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.76%EV -12.10%E -3.49%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 02:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -12.61%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 02:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.82%EV -14.18%E -6.92%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -14.71%E -5.66%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-03 05:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-05 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-05 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-05 02:10
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-05 02:05
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.48%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73%2.4%2026-04-05 02:25
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.74%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.1%2026-04-05 02:05