La escuela de los momios

San Jose Earthquakes v San Diego FC

Inicio: 2026-04-05 02:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Jose Earthquakes (Local)

Predicción 41.86%2.39momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -2.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.93%41.86%41.86%42.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.222.232.3048.78%44.98%44.84%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego FC (Visitante)

Predicción 32.81%3.05momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.864%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.27%32.84%32.75%33.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.832.852.9738.46%35.35%35.09%33.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.33%3.95momio equitativo
EV +1.32%
Ventaja +0.330%
Kelly +0.440%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.92%25.30%25.39%26.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.673.704.0029.41%27.24%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +1.32%E +0.330%K +0.440%G +0.006%4.5%2026-04-05 02:05
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.35%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.22%EV -4.21%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.43%EV +0.560%E +0.141%K +0.189%G +0.001%3.1%2026-04-05 02:24
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.04%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.11%EV -4.21%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.85%EV -1.47%E -0.377%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 01:50
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.04%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.11%EV -4.21%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.85%EV -1.47%E -0.377%K -0.507%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 01:50
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.46%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.59%EV -2.57%E -0.864%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.95%EV -1.72%E -0.443%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 02:14
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 02:05
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.63%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.68%EV -5.85%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:19
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 11:20
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 11:20
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.75%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -3.22%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 02:04
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -3.22%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 02:05
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -3.22%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 02:05
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -3.22%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 02:05
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.32%EV -7.06%E -3.18%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 02:04
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 02:22
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 02:04
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 01:54
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 02:04
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -4.21%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 01:44
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -4.21%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 01:44
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 21:33
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 06:29
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:05
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:04
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:05
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:04
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:04
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 02:05
BetUS2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 02:24
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 01:49
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.72%EV -4.54%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.88%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 02:04
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.50%E -2.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 02:04
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 02:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 02:09
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.86%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 01:38
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 01:35
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 02:09
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 02:04
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:24
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:24
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:24
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 02:24
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 02:10
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.42%EV -5.52%E -1.92%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -9.32%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 01:49
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -8.74%E -4.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.14%E -2.91%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 02:04
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.63%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-03 05:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 02:04
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -11.42%E -4.23%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 02:04
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 02:04
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 02:04
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.70%EV -14.05%E -5.36%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 01:44
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.97%EV -10.83%E -5.08%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -9.13%E -3.30%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.76%EV -12.10%E -3.49%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 02:03
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -9.78%E -3.56%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -12.61%E -3.66%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 02:14
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.82%EV -14.18%E -6.92%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -14.71%E -5.66%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-03 05:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-05 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-05 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-05 02:10
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-05 02:05
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.48%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73%2.4%2026-04-05 02:25
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.74%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.1%2026-04-05 02:05