Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego FC v CF Montreal

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 03:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego FC (Local)

Prediction 62.47%1.60fair odd
EV -0.675%
Edge -0.425%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.81%62.35%62.65%63.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.491.501.5974.63%66.95%66.67%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CF Montreal (Visit)

Prediction 16.64%6.01fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.245%
Kelly +0.293%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.61%16.76%16.54%18.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.855.575.506.1020.62%17.95%18.18%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.89%4.79fair odd
EV -0.756%
Edge -0.159%
Kelly -0.202%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.03%20.89%20.81%22.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.404.404.7526.67%22.75%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego FC (Local): 62.47%; CF Montreal (Visit): 16.64%; Draw: 20.89%. For CF Montreal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.01. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.77%EV +1.49%E +0.245%K +0.293%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 02:40
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.77%EV +1.49%E +0.245%K +0.293%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 02:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.77%EV +1.49%E +0.245%K +0.293%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.77%EV +1.49%E +0.245%K +0.293%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 02:40
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 03:19
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 03:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -6.92%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 02:40
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -1.83%E -0.311%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 03:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -3.80%E -2.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV -2.67%E -0.456%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -2.85%E -0.612%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 03:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -3.80%E -2.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV -2.67%E -0.456%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -2.85%E -0.612%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 03:25
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -3.50%E -0.603%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.16%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 02:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.33%E -0.753%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.756%E -0.159%K -0.202%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.33%E -0.753%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 03:19
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.33%E -0.753%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.53%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 03:16
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -4.33%E -0.753%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -11.20%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 02:50
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.67%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.79%EV -5.00%E -0.875%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.53%EV -2.43%E -0.520%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 03:20
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.00%EV -0.675%E -0.425%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.20%EV -6.16%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV -7.02%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 03:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -5.67%E -3.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 03:24
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.42%EV -3.17%E -2.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.09%EV -7.32%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.49%EV -7.44%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 03:24
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:25
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -5.67%E -3.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:24
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -11.20%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 03:20
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 03:24
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.53%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 03:25
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -11.20%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 03:20
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-20 05:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-20 05:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-20 05:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.85%EV -3.17%E -2.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%EV -10.15%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV -1.80%E -0.383%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 03:25
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.85%EV -3.17%E -2.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%EV -10.15%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV -1.80%E -0.383%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 03:20
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -10.15%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 03:24
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -10.15%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 03:25
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.76%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -10.15%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 03:25
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.60%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -11.82%E -2.23%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -10.16%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 03:25
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -12.65%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 03:20
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -12.65%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 03:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -15.14%E -2.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 03:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 62.25%EV -16.29%E -12.16%K -47.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.36%EV -15.14%E -2.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.39%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%19.9%2026-02-22 03:25
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -3.17%E -2.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -9.53%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 03:00
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -9.53%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -9.53%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 03:00
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -9.53%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 03:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -21.65%E -5.77%K -7.87%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-22 03:17
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.23%EV -11.29%E -7.95%K -26.89%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.56%EV -17.64%E -3.56%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.21%EV -14.34%E -3.50%K -4.62%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 03:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.07%EV -11.92%E -8.45%K -29.07%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.40%EV -17.64%E -3.56%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -16.43%E -4.11%K -5.48%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-22 03:23
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 61.03%EV -13.17%E -9.47%K -33.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.49%EV -19.30%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.48%EV -17.47%E -4.42%K -5.92%G +0.000%17.9%2026-02-22 03:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%0.7%2026-02-22 03:25
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%0.7%2026-02-22 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-02-22 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-02-22 03:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-02-22 03:20
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-02-22 03:25