La escuela de los momios

San Diego FC v CF Montreal

Inicio: 2026-02-22 03:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego FC (Local)

Predicción 62.47%1.60momio equitativo
EV -0.675%
Ventaja -0.425%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.81%62.35%62.65%63.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.491.501.5974.63%66.95%66.67%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CF Montreal (Visitante)

Predicción 16.64%6.01momio equitativo
EV +1.49%
Ventaja +0.245%
Kelly +0.293%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.61%16.76%16.54%18.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.855.575.506.1020.62%17.95%18.18%16.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.89%4.79momio equitativo
EV -0.756%
Ventaja -0.159%
Kelly -0.202%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.03%20.89%20.81%22.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.404.404.7526.67%22.75%22.73%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.77%EV +1.49%E +0.245%K +0.293%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 02:40
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.77%EV +1.49%E +0.245%K +0.293%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 02:40
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.77%EV +1.49%E +0.245%K +0.293%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 02:40
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.77%EV +1.49%E +0.245%K +0.293%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 02:40
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 03:19
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 03:25
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 02:50
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -6.92%E -4.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -0.170%E -0.028%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -9.11%E -2.10%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 02:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -1.83%E -0.311%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 03:25
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -3.80%E -2.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV -2.67%E -0.456%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -2.85%E -0.612%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 03:25
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.72%EV -3.80%E -2.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.51%EV -2.67%E -0.456%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -2.85%E -0.612%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 03:25
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -3.50%E -0.603%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.16%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 02:50
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.33%E -0.753%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.756%E -0.159%K -0.202%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 23:15
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.33%E -0.753%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 03:19
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.33%E -0.753%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.53%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 03:16
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -4.33%E -0.753%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -11.20%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 02:50
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.67%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.79%EV -5.00%E -0.875%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.53%EV -2.43%E -0.520%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 03:20
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.00%EV -0.675%E -0.425%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.20%EV -6.16%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV -7.02%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 03:25
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -5.67%E -3.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 03:24
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.42%EV -3.17%E -2.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.09%EV -7.32%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.49%EV -7.44%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 03:24
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:25
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:25
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -5.67%E -3.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:24
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -11.20%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 03:20
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 03:24
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.53%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 03:25
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -11.20%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 03:20
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-20 05:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-20 05:35
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-20 05:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.85%EV -3.17%E -2.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%EV -10.15%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV -1.80%E -0.383%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 03:25
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.85%EV -3.17%E -2.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%EV -10.15%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV -1.80%E -0.383%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 03:20
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -10.15%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 03:24
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -10.15%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 03:25
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.76%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -10.15%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 03:25
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 61.60%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -11.82%E -2.23%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -10.16%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 03:25
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -12.65%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 03:20
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -12.65%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 03:14
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -15.14%E -2.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 03:25
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 62.25%EV -16.29%E -12.16%K -47.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.36%EV -15.14%E -2.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.39%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%19.9%2026-02-22 03:25
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -3.17%E -2.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -9.53%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 03:00
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -9.53%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -9.53%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 03:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -7.55%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -9.53%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 03:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -10.05%E -6.98%K -22.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -21.65%E -5.77%K -7.87%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-22 03:17
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.23%EV -11.29%E -7.95%K -26.89%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.56%EV -17.64%E -3.56%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.21%EV -14.34%E -3.50%K -4.62%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 03:25
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.07%EV -11.92%E -8.45%K -29.07%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.40%EV -17.64%E -3.56%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -16.43%E -4.11%K -5.48%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-22 03:23
Parions Sport (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 61.03%EV -13.17%E -9.47%K -33.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.49%EV -19.30%E -3.98%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.48%EV -17.47%E -4.42%K -5.92%G +0.000%17.9%2026-02-22 03:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%0.7%2026-02-22 03:25
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.85%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%0.7%2026-02-22 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-02-22 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-02-22 03:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-02-22 03:20
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-02-22 03:25