Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Timbers v Los Angeles FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 20:53 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Timbers (Local)

Prediction 35.45%2.82fair odd
EV -0.740%
Edge -0.264%
Kelly -0.411%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.20%35.43%35.45%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.652.8041.67%38.05%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles FC (Visit)

Prediction 39.34%2.54fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.27%39.43%39.28%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.5045.45%42.64%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.21%3.97fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.433%
Kelly -0.582%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.56%25.14%25.27%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.653.653.9031.25%27.39%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Timbers (Local): 35.45%; Los Angeles FC (Visit): 39.34%; Draw: 25.21%. For Portland Timbers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.740%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -0.740%E -0.264%K -0.411%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.18%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 20:45
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.45%E -0.521%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:46
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.45%E -0.521%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.90%EV -2.51%E -0.914%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:50
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.90%EV -2.51%E -0.914%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.90%EV -2.51%E -0.914%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.90%EV -2.51%E -0.914%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:50
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -2.51%E -0.914%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:48
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -3.58%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.67%EV -1.65%E -0.659%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -3.58%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.67%EV -1.65%E -0.659%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 20:50
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:49
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.28%EV -7.94%E -3.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:49
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:49
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:49
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:49
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:50
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 20:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 20:44
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 20:44
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 20:48
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -4.99%E -1.86%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.86%EV -7.94%E -3.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -7.23%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 20:44
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.18%EV -5.19%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:50
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 20:50
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 20:47
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 20:44
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 20:48
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.77%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -1.69%E -0.433%K -0.582%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 20:44
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.70%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 20:44
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -6.77%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.13%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 20:50
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.12%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:49
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.93%EV -7.48%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.40%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 20:44
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -2.95%E -0.766%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:43
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 20:50
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 20:49
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 20:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.03%EV -8.33%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 20:50
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.60%E -3.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -9.60%E -3.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -9.60%E -3.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -9.60%E -3.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.75%EV -9.60%E -3.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.28%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 20:44
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 20:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 20:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 20:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 20:49
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 20:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 20:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 20:50
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 20:44
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 20:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -19.33%E -6.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -13.15%E -5.37%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.44%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.15%EV -13.03%E -3.78%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-11 20:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -14.92%E -6.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 20:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.79%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-04-11 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.96%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-04-11 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%2.9%2026-04-11 20:50
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.80%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%3.4%2026-04-11 20:50
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%4.1%2026-04-11 20:50
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 36.49%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%10.5%2026-04-11 20:50