La escuela de los momios

Portland Timbers v Los Angeles FC

Inicio: 2026-04-11 20:53 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Portland Timbers (Local)

Predicción 35.45%2.82momio equitativo
EV -0.740%
Ventaja -0.264%
Kelly -0.411%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.20%35.43%35.45%36.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.632.652.8041.67%38.05%37.74%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles FC (Visitante)

Predicción 39.34%2.54momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.659%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.27%39.43%39.28%41.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.352.5045.45%42.64%42.55%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.21%3.97momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.433%
Kelly -0.582%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.56%25.14%25.27%26.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.653.653.9031.25%27.39%27.40%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -0.740%E -0.264%K -0.411%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.18%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 20:45
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.45%E -0.521%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:46
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.45%E -0.521%K -0.814%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:46
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.90%EV -2.51%E -0.914%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:50
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.90%EV -2.51%E -0.914%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:50
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.90%EV -2.51%E -0.914%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:49
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.90%EV -2.51%E -0.914%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:50
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -2.51%E -0.914%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:48
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -3.58%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.67%EV -1.65%E -0.659%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 20:50
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -3.58%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.67%EV -1.65%E -0.659%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 20:50
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 20:49
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.28%EV -7.94%E -3.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:44
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:49
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:50
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:49
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:49
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:49
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 20:50
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 20:49
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 20:44
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 20:44
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -4.28%E -1.59%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 20:48
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -4.99%E -1.86%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.86%EV -7.94%E -3.39%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -7.23%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 20:44
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.18%EV -5.19%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:50
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 20:50
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 20:47
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 20:50
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 20:44
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 20:48
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 20:45
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.77%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -1.69%E -0.433%K -0.582%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 20:44
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -6.06%E -2.29%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.70%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 20:44
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -6.77%E -2.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.13%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 20:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.12%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 20:49
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 35.93%EV -7.48%E -2.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.40%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 20:44
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -2.95%E -0.766%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:43
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 20:50
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 20:49
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 20:50
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.83%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.03%EV -8.33%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 20:50
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.60%E -3.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 20:50
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -9.60%E -3.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 20:50
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -9.60%E -3.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 20:50
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -9.60%E -3.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 20:50
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.75%EV -9.60%E -3.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.28%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 20:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 20:44
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 20:44
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 20:44
MyBookie.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 20:49
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 20:49
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 20:48
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 20:50
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 20:44
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 20:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -11.37%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -19.33%E -6.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 20:50
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -13.15%E -5.37%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.44%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.15%EV -13.03%E -3.78%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-11 20:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -14.92%E -6.22%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 20:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.79%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-04-11 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.96%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-04-11 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%2.9%2026-04-11 20:50
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.80%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%3.4%2026-04-11 20:50
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%4.1%2026-04-11 20:50
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 36.49%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%10.5%2026-04-11 20:50