The School of Odds

Orlando City SC v Nashville SC

2026-07-25 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Orlando City SC (Local)

Prediction 30.99%3.23fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.54%31.08%30.89%32.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.963.003.1138%34%33%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Nashville SC (Visit)

Prediction 44.86%2.23fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.34%44.71%44.89%45.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.882.052.052.1853%49%49%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.15%4.14fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.849%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.59%24.21%24.22%25.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.754.0029%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.11I 32.15%NM 31.15%EV -3.64%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.44%EV -2.20%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.40%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 16:30
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 13:10
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 13:14
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.40%E -0.849%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 13:25
GTbets3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.34%E -2.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 13:20
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.34%E -2.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:35
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -5.34%E -2.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:35
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 13:09
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -4.89%E -2.31%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 13:10
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -4.89%E -2.31%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 13:10
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 13:10
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.81%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 13:15
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 15:15
MyBookie.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.87%EV -7.58%E -3.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 13:10
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 13:09
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 13:13
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 13:10
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 13:13
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 16:30
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.64%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 16:30
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -7.35%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -7.74%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 13:13
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.12%EV -9.37%E -4.64%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 13:09
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.85%EV -8.93%E -4.40%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 13:35
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 16:30
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 16:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -5.79%E -2.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 16:35
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.27%E -5.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-19 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.27%E -5.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-19 13:09
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.27%E -5.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-19 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.27%E -5.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-19 13:10
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.76%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.27%E -5.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-19 13:15
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 30.58%EV -11.07%E -3.86%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.24%EV -12.96%E -6.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.18%EV -12.33%E -3.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-19 13:09
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.24%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -8.03%E -3.92%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.23%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-19 13:14
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -13.24%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.04%EV -14.31%E -7.49%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.23%EV -14.26%E -4.02%K -5.59%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-19 23:35
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.17%EV -14.79%E -5.38%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.27%E -5.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -9.43%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-19 13:30
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -14.79%E -5.38%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.70%EV -12.96%E -6.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -11.85%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-19 13:10
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.58%EV -17.89%E -6.75%K -10.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 44.51%EV -15.66%E -8.33%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.91%EV -15.47%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%19.5%2026-07-19 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%4.0%2026-07-20 13:40
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 30.94%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.47%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%13.0%2026-07-19 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-20 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-20 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-19 14:05