L’École des cotes

Orlando City SC v Nashville SC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 00:46 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Orlando City SC (Local)

Prévision 38.52%2.60cote équitable
EV +5.92%
Avantage +2.15%
Kelly +3.38%
Croissance +0.200%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.91%38.23%38.60%39.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.512.502.7545.45%39.78%40.00%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nashville SC (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.76%2.72cote équitable
EV -0.736%
Avantage -0.273%
Kelly -0.433%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.49%37.14%36.77%39.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.462.452.7043.48%40.68%40.82%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.72%4.05cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.281%
Kelly -0.375%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.44%24.64%24.63%25.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.723.734.0028.57%26.87%26.85%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.02%EV +5.92%E +2.15%K +3.38%G +0.200%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.30%EV -9.93%E -4.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 00:45
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.02%EV +5.92%E +2.15%K +3.38%G +0.200%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.30%EV -9.93%E -4.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 00:45
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.02%EV +5.92%E +2.15%K +3.38%G +0.200%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.30%EV -9.93%E -4.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.68%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 00:45
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV +3.99%E +1.48%K +2.35%G +0.094%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 00:45
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV +3.99%E +1.48%K +2.35%G +0.094%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 00:45
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV +3.99%E +1.48%K +2.35%G +0.094%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 00:45
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV +3.99%E +1.48%K +2.35%G +0.094%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 00:45
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV +3.99%E +1.48%K +2.35%G +0.094%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 00:42
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV +3.99%E +1.48%K +2.35%G +0.094%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 00:45
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV +2.07%E +0.781%K +1.25%G +0.026%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 23:54
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV +2.07%E +0.781%K +1.25%G +0.026%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -12.50%E -5.25%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -11.01%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:45
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV +1.30%E +0.494%K +0.797%G +0.010%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.13%EV -13.60%E -5.79%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -12.25%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 00:45
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV +0.143%E +0.055%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -15.44%E -6.71%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 22:48
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV +0.143%E +0.055%K +0.090%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.18%EV -14.34%E -6.15%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -12.25%E -3.45%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 00:04
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -1.78%E -0.699%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -15.44%E -6.71%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 00:04
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -1.78%E -0.699%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -15.44%E -6.71%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 00:05
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 00:32
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 23:24
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 23:28
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.63%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.41%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 23:55
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -5.63%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.60%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 23:49
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -5.63%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 23:54
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 36.85%EV -5.63%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -13.60%E -5.79%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 00:45
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.93%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.49%EV -0.736%E -0.273%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.57%EV -3.60%E -0.922%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 00:34
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.12%E -0.281%K -0.375%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 00:24
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 23:53
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 23:55
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -8.33%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%EV -3.68%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 00:20
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -8.33%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -7.35%E -2.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -2.36%E -0.597%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 23:54
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -8.33%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -7.35%E -2.92%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -2.36%E -0.597%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 23:54
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 00:35
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.41%E -4.96%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.30%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 00:34
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.21%EV -11.41%E -4.96%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.08%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 00:34
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.78%EV -14.49%E -6.53%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -10.66%E -4.39%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 00:33
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.58%EV -15.26%E -6.94%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.54%EV -9.93%E -4.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -13.48%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 00:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.4%2026-07-26 00:45
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-07-26 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00%1.6%2026-07-26 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00%1.6%2026-07-26 00:45
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.07%2.3%2026-07-26 00:45