Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Miami CF v Columbus Crew SC

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 00:10 UTC

Final: Inter Miami CF 2–2 Columbus Crew SC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Miami CF (Local)

Prediction 59.18%1.69fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -6.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.98%59.08%59.21%61.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.581.581.6267.57%63.44%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Crew SC (Visit)

Prediction 19.61%5.10fair odd
EV +3.91%
Edge +0.738%
Kelly +0.909%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.85%19.67%19.57%22.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.905.005.3025.00%20.40%20.00%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.21%4.71fair odd
EV +0.753%
Edge +0.158%
Kelly +0.201%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.59%21.24%21.22%22.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.304.284.7525.64%23.24%23.39%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Inter Miami CF (Local): 59.18%; Columbus Crew SC (Visit): 19.61%; Draw: 21.21%. For Columbus Crew SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.10. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.28%EV -4.12%E -2.55%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV +3.91%E +0.738%K +0.909%G +0.036%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -9.85%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.28%EV -4.12%E -2.55%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV +3.91%E +0.738%K +0.909%G +0.036%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -9.85%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.28%EV -4.12%E -2.55%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV +3.91%E +0.738%K +0.909%G +0.036%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -9.85%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.42%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.91%E +0.738%K +0.909%G +0.036%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -10.91%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 00:00
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.64%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.689%G +0.020%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -8.79%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 00:04
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -7.67%E -4.92%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.689%G +0.020%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.55%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.689%G +0.020%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%EV -9.85%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.49%E -4.11%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +2.93%E +0.558%K +0.689%G +0.020%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -10.91%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +1.95%E +0.375%K +0.464%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -10.91%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 00:05
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +1.95%E +0.375%K +0.464%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -10.91%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 00:05
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +1.95%E +0.375%K +0.464%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -10.91%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +1.95%E +0.375%K +0.464%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -10.91%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 00:05
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +1.95%E +0.375%K +0.464%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -10.91%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +1.95%E +0.375%K +0.464%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -10.91%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV +1.95%E +0.375%K +0.464%G +0.009%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.55%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 00:05
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -7.67%E -4.92%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +1.95%E +0.375%K +0.464%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.03%E -3.18%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 00:05
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.36%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.92%EV -0.991%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 23:59
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -11.23%E -7.48%K -22.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -10.04%E -6.61%K -19.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -1.97%E -0.394%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -15.16%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 00:05
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.43%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -2.95%E -0.596%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.37%EV -5.61%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 09:44
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.43%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -2.95%E -0.596%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.37%EV -5.61%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 09:43
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -4.12%E -2.55%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.18%EV -3.74%E -0.761%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -11.97%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -5.90%E -3.71%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -4.55%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 23:52
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.47%EV -12.41%E -8.38%K -25.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -3.93%E -0.802%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -17.28%E -4.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.21%EV -4.12%E -2.55%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -8.79%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 23:20
Caesars🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -6.49%E -4.11%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 00:02
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.85%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 09:44
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.82%EV -9.45%E -6.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV +0.753%E +0.158%K +0.201%G +0.002%7.5%2026-08-02 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -6.49%E -4.11%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.87%E -1.45%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -9.85%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 09:44
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.86%E -5.75%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.81%E -2.13%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -8.79%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 00:05
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.77%E -2.62%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -4.55%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -15.11%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -2.43%E -0.528%K -0.675%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 00:04
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -15.11%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -6.49%E -4.11%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -17.66%E -4.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.91%E -2.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.17%EV -5.31%E -3.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.04%EV -18.64%E -4.49%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -6.67%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 23:51
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -21.58%E -5.39%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 00:05
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -7.08%E -4.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -21.58%E -5.39%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.81%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%0.5%2026-08-02 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-02 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-02 00:05
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.43%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.78%1.1%2026-08-02 00:05
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.78%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.26%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%3.5%2026-08-02 00:05

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