La escuela de los momios

Inter Miami CF v Columbus Crew SC

2026-08-01 23:30 UTC — MLS

Resultado del partido

31 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Inter Miami CF (Local)

Predicción 53.78%1.86momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -2.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.65%53.72%53.82%54.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.731.731.8260.98%57.77%57.80%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Columbus Crew SC (Visitante)

Predicción 23.27%4.30momio equitativo
EV +1.23%
Ventaja +0.282%
Kelly +0.367%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.84%23.30%23.18%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.703.913.904.3527.03%25.56%25.64%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.95%4.36momio equitativo
EV +0.986%
Ventaja +0.224%
Kelly +0.290%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.67%22.98%23.00%24.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.044.024.4026.32%24.73%24.88%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 53.98%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV +1.23%E +0.282%K +0.367%G +0.005%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.18%EV -9.80%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 00:50
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.63%EV -2.66%E -1.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.52%EV +0.297%E +0.069%K +0.090%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.85%EV -6.59%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 00:05
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.28%E -2.40%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.79%EV -2.73%E -0.653%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.70%EV -7.74%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 00:05
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.65%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -3.43%E -0.826%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.34%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 00:44
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.65%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -3.43%E -0.826%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.34%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 00:44
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -3.43%E -0.826%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.82%EV -10.03%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 23:53
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.90%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 00:45
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.90%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 00:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV +0.986%E +0.224%K +0.290%G +0.003%4.9%2026-07-26 00:49
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.08%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -2.46%E -0.578%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 23:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 00:00
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -9.12%E -5.39%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.60%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 23:59
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.78%E -3.36%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.46%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 00:54
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -5.89%E -3.37%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -1.31%E -0.304%K -0.397%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 00:50
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.90%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:00
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.34%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 00:50
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -5.90%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 00:04
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -5.90%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 00:04
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -5.90%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 00:49
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 23:55
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -10.19%E -6.10%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.78%E -3.36%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 23:59
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.54%EV -11.80%E -7.20%K -18.44%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.54%EV -13.20%E -3.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.92%EV -12.10%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 00:54
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.60%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.60%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.60%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:44
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.60%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.49%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.49%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 23:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.49%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 23:59
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.58%E -5.05%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.49%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 23:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%13.2%2026-07-26 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:10