Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Miami CF v Atlanta United FC

2026-09-05 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Miami CF (Local)

Prediction 69.06%1.45fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -8.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%68.95%69.06%70.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.351.4076.92%74.42%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta United FC (Visit)

Prediction 13.59%7.36fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.254%
Kelly +0.293%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.67%13.61%13.59%17.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.806.476.507.5020.83%15.45%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.35%5.76fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.508%
Kelly -0.619%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.71%17.44%17.35%20.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.255.155.105.6023.53%19.41%19.61%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Inter Miami CF (Local): 69.06%; Atlanta United FC (Visit): 13.59%; Draw: 17.35%. For Atlanta United FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.36. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.37%EV -6.76%E -5.01%K -19.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV +1.91%E +0.254%K +0.293%G +0.006%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:14
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.25%EV -3.31%E -2.36%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.37%EV -1.49%E -0.206%K -0.239%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.38%EV -3.19%E -0.572%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.93%K -14.55%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -1.49%E -0.206%K -0.239%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.85%EV -6.76%E -5.01%K -19.32%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.01%EV -1.49%E -0.206%K -0.239%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 12:10
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%EV -9.53%E -7.27%K -30.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.89%E -0.698%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 12:15
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.15%E -6.12%K -24.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -4.89%E -0.698%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 12:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.07%E -4.47%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 12:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.07%E -4.47%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.07%E -4.47%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.07%E -4.47%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 12:19
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -8.15%E -6.12%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 12:29
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -8.15%E -6.12%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -11.68%E -1.80%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 12:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -6.07%E -4.47%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -13.04%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -8.05%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 12:24
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.62%EV -10.22%E -7.86%K -34.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -15.08%E -2.41%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -16.73%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 12:15
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.62%EV -7.45%E -5.56%K -21.92%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.61%EV -15.76%E -2.54%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -11.52%E -2.26%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 12:20
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -8.15%E -6.12%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.48%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.08%EV -9.53%E -7.27%K -30.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.69%EV -23.91%E -4.27%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -11.52%E -2.26%K -2.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 66.59%EV -10.22%E -7.86%K -34.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -25.27%E -4.59%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.67%EV -14.99%E -3.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-23 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.03%EV -4.69%E -3.40%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.83%EV -34.78%E -7.25%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.14%EV -26.27%E -6.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-23 12:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 65.12%6.67I 14.99%NM 13.77%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%8.9%2026-08-23 12:35
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 66.02%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.66%16.5%2026-08-23 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-23 12:25