Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.36
assuming max odds 8.85
assuming max odds 6.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Inter Miami CF (Local): 70.86%; Atlanta United FC (Visit): 13.06%; Draw: 16.09%. For Atlanta United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.66. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.54%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.04%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.89%EV +15.54%E +1.76%K +1.98%G +0.308% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-05 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.04%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.89%EV +15.54%E +1.76%K +1.98%G +0.308% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-05 23:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.04%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.89%EV +15.54%E +1.76%K +1.98%G +0.308% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-05 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.28%EV +10.97%E +1.29%K +1.46%G +0.160% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.98%EV +2.97%E +0.465%K +0.551%G +0.016% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.28%EV +10.97%E +1.29%K +1.46%G +0.160% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.98%EV +2.97%E +0.465%K +0.551%G +0.016% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.28%EV +10.97%E +1.29%K +1.46%G +0.160% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.98%EV +2.97%E +0.465%K +0.551%G +0.016% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.36%EV -10.01%E -7.88%K -37.09%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV +10.97%E +1.29%K +1.46%G +0.160% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +4.58%E +0.705%K +0.833%G +0.038% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-05 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 00:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.14%E -9.79%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -3.64%E -2.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.09%E -0.278%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.58%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -2.09%E -0.278%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +4.58%E +0.705%K +0.833%G +0.038% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.93%EV -10.01%E -7.88%K -37.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.09%E -0.278%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.93%EV -10.01%E -7.88%K -37.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.09%E -0.278%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.95%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -2.09%E -0.278%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -9.90%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -3.64%E -2.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -4.70%E -0.644%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -15.53%E -2.96%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -3.64%E -2.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -4.70%E -0.644%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -15.53%E -2.96%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 00:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.37%EV -4.35%E -3.22%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -5.35%E -0.738%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.44%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV +0.561%E +0.090%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-05 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -5.05%E -3.77%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -19.55%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-05 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -19.55%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -19.55%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-05 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -19.55%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-05 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.50%EV -12.14%E -9.79%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -9.90%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.50%EV -12.14%E -9.79%K -50.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -9.90%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.63%EV -4.35%E -3.22%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.88%E -1.76%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -15.53%E -2.96%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.96%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.88%E -1.76%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 00:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.05%E -3.77%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -15.14%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -4.35%E -3.22%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -15.14%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 00:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -15.14%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-05 23:26 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.96%EV -7.18%E -5.48%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -15.14%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-05 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -15.14%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.64%EV -4.35%E -3.22%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -16.45%E -2.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.64%EV -4.35%E -3.22%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -16.45%E -2.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.19%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.60%EV -18.41%E -2.94%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.82%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -21.67%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.82%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -21.67%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.92%EV -9.31%E -7.27%K -33.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.92%EV -21.67%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -5.07%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.32%EV -10.01%E -7.88%K -37.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -21.67%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-06 00:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.73% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.70% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.73% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.70% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.54% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.29% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.17% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.87% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.59% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.55% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.14% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.49% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.36% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.03% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.94% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.04% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |