Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Inter Miami CF v Atlanta United FC

Início: 2026-09-06 01:05 UTC

Final: Inter Miami CF 2–2 Atlanta United FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Inter Miami CF (Local)

Previsão 70.86%1.41odd justa
EV -3.64%
Vantagem -2.67%
Kelly -10.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.63%70.77%70.61%74.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.241.311.311.3680.65%76.51%76.34%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta United FC (Visitante)

Previsão 13.06%7.66odd justa
EV +15.54%
Vantagem +1.76%
Kelly +1.98%
Crescimento +0.308%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.89%12.98%13.27%15.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.007.337.258.8516.67%13.64%13.79%11.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 16.09%6.22odd justa
EV +4.58%
Vantagem +0.705%
Kelly +0.833%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.15%16.25%16.11%18.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.806.006.5020.00%17.24%16.67%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Inter Miami CF (Local): 70.86%; Atlanta United FC (Visitante): 13.06%; Empate: 16.09%. Para Atlanta United FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.66. 18 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +15.54%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.04%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.89%EV +15.54%E +1.76%K +1.98%G +0.308%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-05 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.04%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.89%EV +15.54%E +1.76%K +1.98%G +0.308%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-05 23:20
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.04%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.89%EV +15.54%E +1.76%K +1.98%G +0.308%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.07%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.28%EV +10.97%E +1.29%K +1.46%G +0.160%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.98%EV +2.97%E +0.465%K +0.551%G +0.016%4.3%2026-09-06 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.28%EV +10.97%E +1.29%K +1.46%G +0.160%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.98%EV +2.97%E +0.465%K +0.551%G +0.016%4.3%2026-09-06 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.28%EV +10.97%E +1.29%K +1.46%G +0.160%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.98%EV +2.97%E +0.465%K +0.551%G +0.016%4.3%2026-09-06 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.36%EV -10.01%E -7.88%K -37.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV +10.97%E +1.29%K +1.46%G +0.160%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +4.58%E +0.705%K +0.833%G +0.038%5.9%2026-09-06 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 00:55
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 00:55
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 00:55
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 00:55
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -8.60%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 00:31
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 00:55
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -12.14%E -9.79%K -50.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +4.44%E +0.555%K +0.634%G +0.028%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 01:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -3.64%E -2.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.09%E -0.278%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:45
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.58%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -2.09%E -0.278%K -0.321%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +4.58%E +0.705%K +0.833%G +0.038%8.7%2026-09-06 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.93%EV -10.01%E -7.88%K -37.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.09%E -0.278%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 01:00
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.93%EV -10.01%E -7.88%K -37.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.09%E -0.278%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 01:00
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.95%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -2.09%E -0.278%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -9.90%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 01:00
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -3.64%E -2.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -4.70%E -0.644%K -0.746%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -15.53%E -2.96%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.19%EV -3.64%E -2.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -4.70%E -0.644%K -0.746%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -15.53%E -2.96%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 00:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.37%EV -4.35%E -3.22%K -12.42%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -5.35%E -0.738%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:15
ReBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.44%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV +0.561%E +0.090%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.0%2026-09-06 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 00:35
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.84%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-05 23:50
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -5.05%E -3.77%K -14.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:00
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 00:50
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -19.55%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-05 23:25
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -19.55%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -19.55%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-05 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -19.55%E -3.91%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-05 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.50%EV -12.14%E -9.79%K -50.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -9.90%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.50%EV -12.14%E -9.79%K -50.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -8.61%E -1.23%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -9.90%E -1.77%K -2.15%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 01:00
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.63%EV -4.35%E -3.22%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.88%E -1.76%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -15.53%E -2.96%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 00:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.96%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.88%E -1.76%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 00:58
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.05%E -3.77%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -15.14%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 00:55
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -4.35%E -3.22%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -15.14%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 00:54
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -15.14%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:26
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.96%EV -7.18%E -5.48%K -23.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -15.14%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -15.14%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.64%EV -4.35%E -3.22%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -16.45%E -2.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 00:55
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.64%EV -4.35%E -3.22%K -12.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -16.45%E -2.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 00:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.19%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.60%EV -18.41%E -2.94%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -3.46%E -0.577%K -0.692%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.82%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -21.67%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 00:55
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.82%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -21.67%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.48%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.92%EV -9.31%E -7.27%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.92%EV -21.67%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -5.07%E -0.859%K -1.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.32%EV -10.01%E -7.88%K -37.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -21.67%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -11.51%E -2.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 00:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.73%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.70%2.8%2026-09-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.73%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.70%2.8%2026-09-06 01:00
Matchbook◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.54%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.29%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.17%3.0%2026-09-06 00:55
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 71.87%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.59%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.55%3.1%2026-09-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.14%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.49%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.36%3.6%2026-09-06 01:00
Smarkets◎1.30I 76.92%NM 74.03%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.94%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.04%3.9%2026-09-06 00:55