Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

D.C. United v Inter Miami CF

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

D.C. United (Local)

Prediction 20.88%4.79fair odd
EV +4.40%
Edge +0.880%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.12%20.84%20.95%22.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.524.505.0025.32%22.12%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Inter Miami CF (Visit)

Prediction 56.51%1.77fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.638%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.70%56.55%56.49%58.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.641.641.7566.67%61.05%60.98%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.61%4.42fair odd
EV +1.77%
Edge +0.392%
Kelly +0.504%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.54%22.61%22.56%25.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.114.134.5029.41%24.36%24.24%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: D.C. United (Local): 20.88%; Inter Miami CF (Visit): 56.51%; Draw: 22.61%. For D.C. United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV +4.40%E +0.880%K +1.10%G +0.048%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -2.76%E -0.641%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV +4.40%E +0.880%K +1.10%G +0.048%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -2.76%E -0.641%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:19
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV +4.40%E +0.880%K +1.10%G +0.048%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -2.76%E -0.641%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:19
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV +4.40%E +0.880%K +1.10%G +0.048%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -2.76%E -0.641%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:19
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:19
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:20
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:20
Bally Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:19
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 21:19
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV +0.226%E +0.047%K +0.059%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:01
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV +0.226%E +0.047%K +0.059%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.41%EV -0.818%E -0.172%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.05%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +1.77%E +0.392%K +0.504%G +0.009%3.2%2026-03-07 21:09
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.21%EV -0.818%E -0.172%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.47%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -2.76%E -0.641%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:09
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -0.818%E -0.172%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.29%E -7.19%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 21:19
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -1.86%E -0.396%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.39%EV -12.98%E -8.43%K -24.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:19
Virgin Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -1.86%E -0.396%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.39%EV -12.98%E -8.43%K -24.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:19
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -3.95%E -0.859%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:09
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.95%E -0.859%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.94%EV -6.20%E -3.74%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:00
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -3.95%E -0.859%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.38%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 21:19
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.95%E -0.859%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 21.14%EV -4.58%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.16%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV +0.634%E +0.143%K +0.184%G +0.001%3.5%2026-03-07 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 21.14%EV -4.58%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.16%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV +0.634%E +0.143%K +0.184%G +0.001%3.5%2026-03-07 21:09
Pinnacle🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -4.99%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.15%EV -2.81%E -1.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.62%EV -3.44%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 21:20
MyBookie.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:14
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:14
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:04
TAB🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 21:10
BetUS🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.37%EV -7.08%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.26%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:10
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.32%EV -7.08%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -6.15%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:04
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.32%EV -7.08%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -6.15%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -7.08%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.55%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.15%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:04
GTbets🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.56%EV -7.71%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.06%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.37%EV -3.66%E -0.860%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:19
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -8.13%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -6.15%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:19
BetAnything🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -8.13%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -6.15%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:20
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.13%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 21:20
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -9.17%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 21:10
Fliff🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -9.17%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.57%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.49%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 21:09
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 20:45
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.75%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -2.08%E -0.480%K -0.624%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:00
Everygame🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:00
Neds🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:00
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:00
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -10.21%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 21:09
1xBet🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.92%EV -11.68%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%EV -1.12%E -0.638%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.69%EV +1.09%E +0.243%K +0.313%G +0.003%3.2%2026-03-07 21:19
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 21:20
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 21:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 21:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.70%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -23.11%E -6.80%K -9.63%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-07 21:14
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 21.33%EV -13.35%E -3.22%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.68%EV -10.16%E -6.39%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 21:09
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -14.39%E -3.51%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 21.50%EV -15.43%E -3.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.46%EV -11.29%E -7.19%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.04%EV -14.52%E -3.84%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-07 21:19
PMU (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 20.93%EV -16.48%E -4.12%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 55.81%EV -15.24%E -10.16%K -30.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -18.59%E -5.16%K -7.15%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-07 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -17.52%E -4.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.56%EV -10.72%E -6.79%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-03-07 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-03-07 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-03-07 21:24
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-03-07 21:24
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.56%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.51%2.2%2026-03-07 20:55
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-03-07 21:25