La escuela de los momios

D.C. United v Inter Miami CF

Inicio: 2026-03-07 21:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

D.C. United (Local)

Predicción 20.88%4.79momio equitativo
EV +4.40%
Ventaja +0.880%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.048%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.12%20.84%20.95%22.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.524.505.0025.32%22.12%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Inter Miami CF (Visitante)

Predicción 56.51%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.638%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.70%56.55%56.49%58.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.641.641.7566.67%61.05%60.98%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.61%4.42momio equitativo
EV +1.77%
Ventaja +0.392%
Kelly +0.504%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.54%22.61%22.56%25.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.114.134.5029.41%24.36%24.24%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV +4.40%E +0.880%K +1.10%G +0.048%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -2.76%E -0.641%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV +4.40%E +0.880%K +1.10%G +0.048%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -2.76%E -0.641%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:19
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV +4.40%E +0.880%K +1.10%G +0.048%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -2.76%E -0.641%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:19
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV +4.40%E +0.880%K +1.10%G +0.048%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.50%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -2.76%E -0.641%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:20
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:20
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:19
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:19
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:20
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:20
Bally Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:19
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV +2.31%E +0.472%K +0.593%G +0.014%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 21:19
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV +0.226%E +0.047%K +0.059%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:01
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV +0.226%E +0.047%K +0.059%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:09
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.41%EV -0.818%E -0.172%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.05%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV +1.77%E +0.392%K +0.504%G +0.009%3.2%2026-03-07 21:09
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 20.21%EV -0.818%E -0.172%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.47%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -2.76%E -0.641%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 21:09
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -0.818%E -0.172%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.29%E -7.19%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 21:19
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -1.86%E -0.396%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.39%EV -12.98%E -8.43%K -24.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:19
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -1.86%E -0.396%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.39%EV -12.98%E -8.43%K -24.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:19
theScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -3.95%E -0.859%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:09
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.95%E -0.859%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.94%EV -6.20%E -3.74%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:00
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -3.95%E -0.859%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.38%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 21:19
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.95%E -0.859%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 20:49
LowVig.ag4.57I 21.88%NM 21.14%EV -4.58%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.16%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV +0.634%E +0.143%K +0.184%G +0.001%3.5%2026-03-07 21:10
BetOnline.ag4.57I 21.88%NM 21.14%EV -4.58%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.16%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV +0.634%E +0.143%K +0.184%G +0.001%3.5%2026-03-07 21:09
Pinnacle4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -4.99%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.15%EV -2.81%E -1.63%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.62%EV -3.44%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 21:20
MyBookie.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:14
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:14
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:09
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:04
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.04%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 21:10
BetUS4.45I 22.47%NM 21.37%EV -7.08%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.26%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -3.89%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:10
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.32%EV -7.08%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -6.15%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:04
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.32%EV -7.08%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -6.15%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:05
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -7.08%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.55%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.15%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:04
GTbets4.42I 22.62%NM 21.56%EV -7.71%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.06%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.37%EV -3.66%E -0.860%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 21:19
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -8.13%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -6.15%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:19
BetAnything4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -8.13%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -6.15%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:20
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.13%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 21:20
PlayUp4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -9.17%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 21:10
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -9.17%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.57%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.49%EV -8.41%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 21:09
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.02%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 20:45
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.75%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -2.08%E -0.480%K -0.624%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:00
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:00
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:00
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -9.59%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:00
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -10.21%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 21:09
1xBet4.23I 23.64%NM 22.92%EV -11.68%E -2.76%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%EV -1.12%E -0.638%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.69%EV +1.09%E +0.243%K +0.313%G +0.003%3.2%2026-03-07 21:19
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 21:20
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.54%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 21:25
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.80%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 21:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.70%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -23.11%E -6.80%K -9.63%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-07 21:14
Parions Sport (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 21.33%EV -13.35%E -3.22%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.68%EV -10.16%E -6.39%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -12.93%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 21:09
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -14.39%E -3.51%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -7.28%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 21:10
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.50%EV -15.43%E -3.81%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.46%EV -11.29%E -7.19%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.04%EV -14.52%E -3.84%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-07 21:19
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 20.93%EV -16.48%E -4.12%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 55.81%EV -15.24%E -10.16%K -30.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -18.59%E -5.16%K -7.15%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-07 21:15
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -17.52%E -4.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.56%EV -10.72%E -6.79%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -10.67%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 21:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-03-07 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-03-07 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-03-07 21:24
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-03-07 21:24
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.56%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.51%2.2%2026-03-07 20:55
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%3.2%2026-03-07 21:25