L’École des cotes

Chicago Fire v Nashville SC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Fire (Local)

Prévision 38.00%2.63cote équitable
EV -0.832%
Avantage -0.319%
Kelly -0.517%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.43%38.02%37.95%39.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.452.452.6144.44%40.83%40.82%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nashville SC (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.52%3.08cote équitable
EV -0.827%
Avantage -0.271%
Kelly -0.403%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.23%32.54%32.46%34.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.872.883.0540.00%34.80%34.72%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.49%3.39cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -0.814%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.80%29.44%29.58%30.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.143.103.3033.90%31.83%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.08%EV -0.832%E -0.319%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.48%EV -3.10%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -6.23%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 00:15
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 37.45%EV -1.59%E -0.615%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -5.34%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 00:19
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 37.01%EV -1.97%E -0.764%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.15%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 00:00
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.01%EV -1.97%E -0.764%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.15%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 00:01
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.92%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 00:04
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.92%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 00:04
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 00:20
BetAnything2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 00:19
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -7.01%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -9.17%E -2.98%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 00:20
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.37%EV -0.827%E -0.271%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.37%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.37%EV -0.827%E -0.271%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.37%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:04
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.37%EV -0.827%E -0.271%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.37%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:05
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.37%EV -0.827%E -0.271%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.37%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:05
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 22:46
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 23:45
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.18%EV -7.70%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 00:04
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 00:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 19:30
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 00:01
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 00:04
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 00:23
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 12:44
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 08:39
MyBookie.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 38.51%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.05%EV -7.40%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 14:39
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:04
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:05
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:04
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:05
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:04
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 00:25
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 00:04
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:44
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 23:44
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 22:25
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 00:24
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 23:49
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -7.67%E -3.16%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 00:05
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -7.67%E -3.16%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 00:05
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 23:44
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 00:05
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 00:10
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 00:10
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 00:15
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 00:10
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 00:09
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 00:09
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 00:04
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -18.71%E -7.48%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-04 23:44
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.58%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 08:38
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -13.01%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 00:05
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -13.01%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 00:04
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -12.61%E -5.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -9.93%E -3.59%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.98%EV -9.17%E -2.98%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -14.51%E -6.45%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.22%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 08:40
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -14.51%E -6.45%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 08:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-05 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-05 00:15
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-05 00:15
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-04-05 00:15
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-04-05 00:10