La escuela de los momios

Chicago Fire v Nashville SC

Inicio: 2026-04-05 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Fire (Local)

Predicción 38.00%2.63momio equitativo
EV -0.832%
Ventaja -0.319%
Kelly -0.517%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.43%38.02%37.95%39.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.452.6144.44%40.83%40.82%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nashville SC (Visitante)

Predicción 32.52%3.08momio equitativo
EV -0.827%
Ventaja -0.271%
Kelly -0.403%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.23%32.54%32.46%34.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.872.883.0540.00%34.80%34.72%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.49%3.39momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -0.814%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.80%29.44%29.58%30.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.143.103.3033.90%31.83%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.08%EV -0.832%E -0.319%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.48%EV -3.10%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -6.23%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 00:15
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 37.45%EV -1.59%E -0.615%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -5.34%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 00:19
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 37.01%EV -1.97%E -0.764%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.15%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 00:00
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.01%EV -1.97%E -0.764%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.15%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 00:01
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.92%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 00:04
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.92%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 00:04
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 00:20
BetAnything2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 00:19
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -4.63%E -1.85%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -7.01%E -2.45%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -9.17%E -2.98%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 00:20
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.37%EV -0.827%E -0.271%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.37%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.37%EV -0.827%E -0.271%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.37%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:04
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.37%EV -0.827%E -0.271%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.37%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:05
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.37%EV -0.827%E -0.271%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.37%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:05
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 22:46
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 23:45
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.18%EV -7.70%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 00:04
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 00:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 19:30
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 00:01
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 00:04
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 00:23
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 12:44
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 08:39
MyBookie.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 38.51%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.05%EV -7.40%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 14:39
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:04
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:05
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:04
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:05
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:04
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 00:25
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 00:04
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:44
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 23:44
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 22:25
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -7.33%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 00:24
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 23:49
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -7.67%E -3.16%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 00:05
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -7.67%E -3.16%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -2.45%E -0.818%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 00:05
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 23:44
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 00:05
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 00:10
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 00:10
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 00:15
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 00:10
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 00:09
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 00:09
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -5.70%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 00:04
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -9.57%E -4.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -18.71%E -7.48%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-04 23:44
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.58%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 08:38
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -13.01%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 00:05
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -6.35%E -2.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -13.01%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 00:04
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -12.61%E -5.48%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.22%EV -9.93%E -3.59%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.98%EV -9.17%E -2.98%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -14.51%E -6.45%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.22%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -8.58%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 08:40
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -14.51%E -6.45%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 08:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-05 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-05 00:15
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-05 00:15
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-04-05 00:15
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-04-05 00:10