The School of Odds

Chicago Fire v Charlotte FC

2026-08-02 00:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago Fire (Local)

Prediction 63.12%1.58fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -6.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.48%63.00%63.17%64.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.381.471.481.5372.46%67.81%67.34%65.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Charlotte FC (Visit)

Prediction 17.22%5.81fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.267%
Kelly +0.321%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.09%17.33%17.13%18.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.505.275.285.9022.22%18.99%18.96%16.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 19.67%5.08fair odd
EV -0.882%
Edge -0.175%
Kelly -0.218%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.91%19.67%19.70%21.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.604.505.0423.81%21.73%22.22%19.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.71%EV -5.95%E -4.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.09%EV +1.57%E +0.267%K +0.321%G +0.005%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.57%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 05:34
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.71%EV -5.95%E -4.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.09%EV +1.57%E +0.267%K +0.321%G +0.005%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -7.57%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 05:35
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.06%EV -5.95%E -4.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV -0.149%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -3.64%E -0.742%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 03:25
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.01%E -0.176%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.59%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 03:25
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -1.01%E -0.176%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.54%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 03:25
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV -1.87%E -0.328%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:25
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.44%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.30%EV -3.42%E -0.610%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.26%EV -0.882%E -0.175%K -0.218%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 05:29
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.31%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.67%E -0.334%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 03:24
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.31%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.67%E -0.334%K -0.417%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 03:25
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.31%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -7.57%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 05:39
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.31%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -14.85%E -3.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 03:24
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.31%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.59%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 03:25
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.31%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 05:28
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.31%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 05:27
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 63.63%EV -5.95%E -4.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.33%EV -5.83%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.04%EV -2.06%E -0.414%K -0.518%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 05:25
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.03%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -4.62%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:25
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.66%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -8.76%E -1.65%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 05:34
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -9.62%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -13.47%E -3.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 03:25
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 62.52%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -12.20%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -9.54%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 05:29
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.64%EV -11.63%E -8.31%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -12.20%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -14.45%E -3.32%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 05:33
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -6.59%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 03:18
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:30
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:29
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:30
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:29
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -6.59%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 03:20
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 06:34
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.92%E -2.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.85%E -3.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 03:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.36%E -3.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -13.47%E -3.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 03:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.36%E -3.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -13.47%E -3.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 03:20
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.36%E -3.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -13.47%E -3.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 03:20
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -17.36%E -3.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -13.47%E -3.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 03:19
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.95%EV -11.00%E -7.80%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.20%EV -17.36%E -3.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.85%EV -13.47%E -3.06%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-26 05:34
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 61.15%EV -12.90%E -9.35%K -33.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.75%EV -22.53%E -5.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.09%EV -17.40%E -4.14%K -5.44%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-26 05:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%13.7%2026-07-26 05:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 34.53%1.04I 96.15%NM 50.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 15.34%91.8%2026-07-26 06:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 34.53%1.04I 96.15%NM 50.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 15.34%91.8%2026-07-26 06:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 34.53%1.04I 96.15%NM 50.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 15.34%91.8%2026-07-26 06:05