La escuela de los momios

Chicago Fire v Charlotte FC

2026-08-02 00:30 UTC — MLS

Resultado del partido

33 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Fire (Local)

Predicción 62.92%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -4.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.82%62.81%63.11%64.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.491.491.5570.92%67.33%67.11%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Charlotte FC (Visitante)

Predicción 17.42%5.74momio equitativo
EV +1.03%
Ventaja +0.177%
Kelly +0.214%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.44%17.49%17.20%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.305.195.105.8023.26%19.26%19.61%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.66%5.09momio equitativo
EV -0.927%
Ventaja -0.184%
Kelly -0.230%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.91%19.70%19.68%21.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.594.505.0424.39%21.80%22.22%19.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.06%EV -6.24%E -4.19%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV +1.03%E +0.177%K +0.214%G +0.002%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -3.68%E -0.751%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 03:25
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.158%E +0.028%K +0.033%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 03:25
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +0.158%E +0.028%K +0.033%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 03:25
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -6.87%E -4.64%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV -0.713%E -0.125%K -0.152%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:25
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.44%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.30%EV -2.28%E -0.406%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.26%EV -0.927%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 02:35
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -6.87%E -4.64%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.12%EV -3.67%E -0.664%K -0.811%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -1.71%E -0.343%K -0.428%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 02:35
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -6.87%E -4.64%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -4.20%E -0.763%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.71%E -0.343%K -0.428%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 03:24
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -6.87%E -4.64%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -4.20%E -0.763%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.71%E -0.343%K -0.428%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 03:25
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.20%E -0.763%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 03:24
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -9.39%E -6.52%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.20%E -0.763%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 03:25
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -8.76%E -6.04%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.20%E -0.763%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 02:33
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -8.76%E -6.04%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.20%E -0.763%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 02:33
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.85%EV -2.47%E -1.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV -7.61%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 03:30
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.85%EV -2.47%E -1.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV -7.61%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 03:35
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.50%E -5.10%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -5.94%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -4.66%E -0.961%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 02:35
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -6.87%E -4.64%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -8.55%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 03:25
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.29%EV -4.98%E -3.30%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -11.16%E -2.19%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 02:39
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -3.73%E -2.44%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 03:18
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:30
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:29
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:30
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.54%E -2.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:29
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.10%EV -6.24%E -4.19%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 02:39
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.76%E -6.04%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 03:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.39%E -6.52%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.88%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 03:25
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.49%EV -7.50%E -5.10%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.64%EV -15.52%E -3.20%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.87%EV -10.56%E -2.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 03:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -16.39%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 03:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -16.39%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 03:20
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -16.39%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 03:20
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -5.61%E -3.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -16.39%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 03:19
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.02%EV -9.39%E -6.52%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -16.39%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.67%EV -16.46%E -3.87%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 02:38
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.43%EV -9.39%E -6.52%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -21.62%E -4.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -15.47%E -3.60%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-26 02:40
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 59.82%EV -11.28%E -8.00%K -27.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.61%EV -25.10%E -5.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.57%EV -19.41%E -4.73%K -6.26%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-26 02:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 60.30%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%13.6%2026-07-26 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 01:00