Language:English
Switzerland v Slovenia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Switzerland (Local)
Prediction 69.67%1.44fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -6.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.71%69.70%69.70%72.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.341.341.4079.37%74.83%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Slovenia (Visit)
Prediction 10.08%9.92fair odd
EV +15.90%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.241%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.37%10.23%10.10%12.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.429.0511.5013.33%10.62%11.05%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.25%4.94fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.645%
Kelly +0.802%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.99%20.07%20.20%21.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.694.655.1023.09%21.33%21.51%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Switzerland (Local): 69.67%; Slovenia (Visit): 10.08%; Draw: 20.25%. For Slovenia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.92. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.38%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +15.90%E +1.38%K +1.51%G +0.241% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.25%EV +1.26%E +0.253%K +0.316%G +0.004% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.38%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +15.90%E +1.38%K +1.51%G +0.241% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.25%EV +1.26%E +0.253%K +0.316%G +0.004% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.38%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +15.90%E +1.38%K +1.51%G +0.241% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.25%EV +1.26%E +0.253%K +0.316%G +0.004% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -9.43%E -7.25%K -31.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +5.82%E +0.555%K +0.613%G +0.036% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -2.79%E -0.580%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -9.43%E -7.25%K -31.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +5.82%E +0.555%K +0.613%G +0.036% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -2.79%E -0.580%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -9.43%E -7.25%K -31.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +5.82%E +0.555%K +0.613%G +0.036% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -2.79%E -0.580%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.46%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.785%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%EV -2.79%E -0.580%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 18:36 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.00%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV +0.785%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.86%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -9.43%E -7.25%K -31.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +0.785%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -3.80%E -0.800%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -9.43%E -7.25%K -31.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +0.785%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -3.80%E -0.800%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.25%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +0.785%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -4.81%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.25%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +0.785%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -4.81%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.25%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV +0.785%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -4.81%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.83%EV -12.22%E -9.70%K -46.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +0.785%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV +3.29%E +0.645%K +0.802%G +0.026% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.49%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.74%EV -2.24%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.77%EV -7.85%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.49%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.74%EV -2.24%E -0.231%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.77%EV -7.85%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.18%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.87%EV -3.25%E -0.338%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -3.80%E -0.800%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 18:42 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV -4.25%E -0.448%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.62%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.16%EV -6.77%E -0.732%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV -5.82%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 18:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.44%EV -3.16%E -2.27%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.51%EV -8.79%E -0.971%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV -8.46%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -9.29%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -3.80%E -0.800%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.43%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -9.29%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.16%EV -5.82%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -9.29%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -8.86%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -9.29%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -8.86%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.29%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.29%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.29%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -7.34%E -5.52%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -9.29%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -12.30%E -2.84%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -9.43%E -7.25%K -31.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -9.29%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.91%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -11.81%E -1.35%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.91%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -11.81%E -1.35%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.66%EV -2.46%E -1.76%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.31%EV -14.33%E -1.69%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -2.79%E -0.580%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -14.33%E -1.69%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.33%E -1.69%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -14.33%E -1.69%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -3.80%E -0.800%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 15:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.22%EV -6.64%E -4.96%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.04%EV -15.34%E -1.83%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -4.81%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -16.85%E -2.04%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.39%EV -4.55%E -3.32%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV -21.89%E -2.82%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -2.79%E -0.580%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -5.25%E -3.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -24.41%E -3.25%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.84%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.16% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 0.4% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |