默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Switzerland v Slovenia

2026-10-03 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Switzerland (主队)

预测 67.93%1.47公平赔率
EV -2.87%
优势 -2.00%
Kelly -6.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
66.00%67.91%67.84%69.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.371.381.4375.19%72.77%72.46%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

Slovenia (客队)

预测 12.04%8.30公平赔率
EV +3.58%
优势 +0.416%
Kelly +0.471%
增长率 +0.017%

假设最高赔率为 8.60

博彩公司预测分布
10.78%12.10%12.21%14.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.257.627.508.6016.00%13.12%13.33%11.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.03%4.99公平赔率
EV +0.149%
优势 +0.030%
Kelly +0.037%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.57%20.00%19.94%21.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.584.505.0023.81%21.86%22.22%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Switzerland (主队):67.93%;Slovenia (客队):12.04%;平局:20.03%。 对于“Slovenia (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.30。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为8.60,由此产生+3.58%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.91%EV -4.22%E -3.00%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.30%EV +3.58%E +0.416%K +0.471%G +0.017%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.79%EV -1.65%E -0.337%K -0.423%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-30 11:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -5.58%E -4.02%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.28%EV +2.38%E +0.280%K +0.317%G +0.008%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.76%EV -2.86%E -0.589%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-30 11:41
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -9.66%E -7.26%K -29.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +2.38%E +0.280%K +0.317%G +0.008%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-30 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -2.87%E -2.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.05%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV -5.86%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-30 11:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -2.87%E -2.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.05%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV -5.86%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-30 11:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -2.87%E -2.00%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.05%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV -5.86%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-30 11:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.90%E -3.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -3.86%E -0.804%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 09:35
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.90%E -3.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -3.86%E -0.804%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 09:34
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.66%E -7.26%K -29.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +0.149%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-30 13:30
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.66%E -7.26%K -29.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-30 13:34
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.66%E -7.26%K -29.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-30 13:34
Suprabets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.90%EV -9.66%E -7.26%K -29.27%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.60%EV -4.85%E -0.614%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -5.86%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-30 13:41
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.66%EV -6.26%E -4.54%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -6.66%E -0.859%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.86%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-30 09:35
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.66%EV -6.26%E -4.54%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -6.66%E -0.859%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.86%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-30 09:35
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.41%EV -7.62%E -5.60%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -6.66%E -0.859%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -4.86%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-30 09:33
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -4.90%E -3.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.86%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 09:35
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -4.90%E -3.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 11:34
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -4.90%E -3.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 11:34
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -4.90%E -3.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-30 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -4.90%E -3.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -11.87%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-30 11:34
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -4.90%E -3.50%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -11.87%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-30 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.26%E -4.54%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -11.87%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-30 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.26%E -4.54%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -11.87%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-30 11:35
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -6.26%E -4.54%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -11.87%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-30 11:34
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.62%E -5.60%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-30 09:34
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.62%E -5.60%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-30 10:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.62%E -5.60%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-30 10:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.62%E -5.60%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-30 10:24
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -8.30%E -6.15%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.86%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-30 13:35
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -7.62%E -5.60%K -21.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.87%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-30 10:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -8.30%E -6.15%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -12.68%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-30 09:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.90%EV -6.94%E -5.07%K -18.76%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -13.28%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-30 09:39
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.26%E -4.54%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.86%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-30 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.20%EV -8.98%E -6.70%K -26.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -15.88%E -3.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-30 11:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -8.30%E -6.15%K -23.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -21.71%E -3.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-30 09:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.00%EV -9.66%E -7.26%K -29.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -24.72%E -3.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -11.87%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-30 09:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。