默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Slovenia v Scotland

开赛时间: 2026-09-26 13:03 UTC

最终结果: Slovenia 0–0 Scotland

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Slovenia (主队)

预测 33.49%2.99公平赔率
EV +0.463%
优势 +0.154%
Kelly +0.231%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
31.63%33.55%33.44%34.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.772.753.0037.74%36.07%36.36%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

Scotland (客队)

预测 35.28%2.83公平赔率
EV +1.62%
优势 +0.562%
Kelly +0.860%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 2.88

博彩公司预测分布
33.52%35.16%35.33%36.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.692.702.8840.00%37.19%37.04%34.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.23%3.20公平赔率
EV -3.19%
优势 -1.03%
Kelly -1.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.47%31.29%31.23%32.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.953.003.1035.71%33.85%33.33%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Slovenia (主队):33.49%;Scotland (客队):35.28%;平局:31.23%。 对于“Scotland (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.83。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.88,对应+1.62%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.20%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.84%EV +1.62%E +0.562%K +0.860%G +0.014%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-26 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.20%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.84%EV +1.62%E +0.562%K +0.860%G +0.014%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-26 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.79%EV -4.90%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.64%EV -2.26%E -0.817%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.57%EV -5.07%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 12:55
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 12:59
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 13:00
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 12:55
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 12:55
Suprabets🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.60%EV -5.56%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.71%EV -3.68%E -1.35%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.69%EV -6.63%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 12:55
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 12:59
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 12:59
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 13:00
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 12:59
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -11.00%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 12:58
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 12:55
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -2.89%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 13:00
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 12:55
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV +0.463%E +0.154%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 12:56
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-26 13:00
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 12:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 13:00
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 12:59
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-26 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-26 13:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-09-26 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%1.1%2026-09-26 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%1.1%2026-09-26 13:00