Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Slovenia v Scotland

Inizio: 2026-09-26 13:03 UTC

Finale: Slovenia 0–0 Scotland

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Slovenia (Casa)

Previsione 33.49%2.99quota equa
EV +0.463%
Vantaggio +0.154%
Kelly +0.231%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.63%33.55%33.44%34.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.772.753.0037.74%36.07%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Scotland (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.28%2.83quota equa
EV +1.62%
Vantaggio +0.562%
Kelly +0.860%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.52%35.16%35.33%36.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.692.702.8840.00%37.19%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.23%3.20quota equa
EV -3.19%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.47%31.29%31.23%32.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.953.003.1035.71%33.85%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Slovenia (Casa): 33.49%; Scotland (Trasferta): 35.28%; Pareggio: 31.23%. Per Scotland (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.83. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.88, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.62%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.20%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.84%EV +1.62%E +0.562%K +0.860%G +0.014%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-26 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.20%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.84%EV +1.62%E +0.562%K +0.860%G +0.014%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-26 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.79%EV -4.90%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.64%EV -2.26%E -0.817%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.57%EV -5.07%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 12:55
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 12:59
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 13:00
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 12:55
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 12:55
Suprabets🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.60%EV -5.56%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.71%EV -3.68%E -1.35%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.69%EV -6.63%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 12:55
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.56%EV -4.03%E -1.48%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 12:59
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 12:59
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 13:00
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 12:59
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -11.00%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 12:58
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -4.73%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 12:55
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -2.89%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 13:00
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 12:55
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV +0.463%E +0.154%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -7.88%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 12:56
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-26 13:00
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 12:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -4.75%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 13:00
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 12:59
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.23%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-26 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-26 13:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-09-26 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%1.1%2026-09-26 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%1.1%2026-09-26 13:00