預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Slovakia v Moldova

開賽時間: 2026-09-26 18:45 UTC

最終賽果: Slovakia 2–0 Moldova

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Slovakia (主隊)

預測 81.81%1.22公平賠率
EV -3.47%
優勢 -2.94%
Kelly -19.27%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.18

博彩公司預測分布
78.74%81.43%81.91%83.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.101.151.151.1890.91%86.88%86.96%84.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Moldova (客隊)

預測 5.43%18.40公平賠率
EV +3.25%
優勢 +0.171%
Kelly +0.180%
成長率 +0.006%

假設最高賠率為 19.00

博彩公司預測分布
4.99%5.62%5.43%7.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
13.0016.0916.0019.007.69%6.22%6.25%5.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 12.76%7.84公平賠率
EV +2.08%
優勢 +0.260%
Kelly +0.297%
成長率 +0.006%

假設最高賠率為 8.00

博彩公司預測分布
11.65%12.94%12.66%15.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.007.127.008.0016.67%14.05%14.29%12.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Slovakia (主隊):81.81%;Moldova (客隊):5.43%;和局:12.76%。 對於「Moldova (客隊)」,該估計相當於18.40的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為19.00,對應+3.25%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.81%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +2.08%E +0.260%K +0.297%G +0.006%5.0%2026-09-26 18:25
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.81%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +2.08%E +0.260%K +0.297%G +0.006%5.0%2026-09-26 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.81%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +2.08%E +0.260%K +0.297%G +0.006%5.0%2026-09-26 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.81%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +2.08%E +0.260%K +0.297%G +0.006%5.0%2026-09-26 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.81%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +2.08%E +0.260%K +0.297%G +0.006%7.3%2026-09-26 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.04%EV -4.29%E -3.66%K -25.22%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.33%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.63%EV -3.03%E -0.398%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 18:42
Suprabets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.52%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +3.25%E +0.171%K +0.180%G +0.006%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.49%EV -3.03%E -0.398%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 18:22
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -6.74%E -5.91%K -48.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -7.62%E -0.448%K -0.476%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -4.30%E -0.574%K -0.662%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.08%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.81%G +0.000%16.25I 6.15%NM 5.66%EV -11.70%E -0.720%K -0.767%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -4.30%E -0.574%K -0.662%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-26 18:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -6.74%E -5.91%K -48.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -29.36%E -2.26%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -7.49%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-26 18:25
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.38%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.27%G +0.000%15.20I 6.58%NM 6.24%EV -17.40%E -1.14%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.38%EV -9.53%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 18:42
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.39%EV -4.29%E -3.66%K -25.22%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.01%EV +3.25%E +0.171%K +0.180%G +0.006%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 18:44
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.18%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.49%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 18:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.18%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.49%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -18.49%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 18:25
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -6.74%E -5.91%K -48.15%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -18.49%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 18:44
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -29.36%E -2.26%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-26 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.81%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -13.05%E -0.816%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-26 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.81%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -13.05%E -0.816%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-26 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -10.01%E -9.10%K -100.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -18.49%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-26 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.92%EV -10.01%E -9.10%K -100.13%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -23.92%E -1.71%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-26 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.50%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -23.92%E -1.71%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -13.23%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 18:15
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.50%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -23.92%E -1.71%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -13.23%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 18:15
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -4.29%E -3.66%K -25.22%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -18.49%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -17.06%E -2.62%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 18:25
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -4.29%E -3.66%K -25.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -29.36%E -2.26%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.06%E -2.62%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 18:40
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.71%EV -5.10%E -4.40%K -31.90%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -22.17%E -3.63%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 18:43
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.71%EV -5.10%E -4.40%K -31.90%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -22.17%E -3.63%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 18:43
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.98%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.27%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -7.62%E -0.448%K -0.476%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -23.44%E -3.91%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-26 18:40
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.68%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%0.9%2026-09-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.68%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%0.9%2026-09-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.68%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%0.9%2026-09-26 18:40