语言:简体中文
Slovakia v Moldova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Slovakia (主队)
预测 81.81%1.22公平赔率
EV -3.47%
优势 -2.94%
Kelly -19.27%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.18
博彩公司预测分布
78.74%81.43%81.91%83.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.101.151.151.1890.91%86.88%86.96%84.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
Moldova (客队)
预测 5.43%18.40公平赔率
EV +3.25%
优势 +0.171%
Kelly +0.180%
增长率 +0.006%
假设最高赔率为 19.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.99%5.62%5.43%7.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
13.0016.0916.0019.007.69%6.22%6.25%5.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 12.76%7.84公平赔率
EV +2.08%
优势 +0.260%
Kelly +0.297%
增长率 +0.006%
假设最高赔率为 8.00
博彩公司预测分布
11.65%12.94%12.66%15.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.007.127.008.0016.67%14.05%14.29%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Slovakia (主队)：81.81%；Moldova (客队)：5.43%；平局：12.76%。 对于“Moldova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为18.40。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为19.00，对应+3.25%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.81%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +2.08%E +0.260%K +0.297%G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.81%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +2.08%E +0.260%K +0.297%G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.81%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +2.08%E +0.260%K +0.297%G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.81%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +2.08%E +0.260%K +0.297%G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.81%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +2.08%E +0.260%K +0.297%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.04%EV -4.29%E -3.66%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.33%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.63%EV -3.03%E -0.398%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 18:42 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.52%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +3.25%E +0.171%K +0.180%G +0.006% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.49%EV -3.03%E -0.398%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 18:22 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -6.74%E -5.91%K -48.15%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -7.62%E -0.448%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -4.30%E -0.574%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.08%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.81%G +0.000% | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.66%EV -11.70%E -0.720%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -4.30%E -0.574%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 18:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -6.74%E -5.91%K -48.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -29.36%E -2.26%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -7.49%E -1.03%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-26 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.38%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 15.20I 6.58%NM 6.24%EV -17.40%E -1.14%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.09I 14.10%NM 13.38%EV -9.53%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 18:42 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.39%EV -4.29%E -3.66%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.01%EV +3.25%E +0.171%K +0.180%G +0.006% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.18%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.49%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 18:16 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.18%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.49%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -18.49%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -6.74%E -5.91%K -48.15%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -18.49%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -5.92%E -5.15%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -29.36%E -2.26%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.81%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -13.05%E -0.816%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.30%EV -8.38%E -7.48%K -69.81%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.69%EV -13.05%E -0.816%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -10.01%E -9.10%K -100.13%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -18.49%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-26 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.92%EV -10.01%E -9.10%K -100.13%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -23.92%E -1.71%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -10.68%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.50%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -23.92%E -1.71%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -13.23%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.50%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -23.92%E -1.71%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -13.23%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -4.29%E -3.66%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -18.49%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -17.06%E -2.62%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -4.29%E -3.66%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -29.36%E -2.26%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -17.06%E -2.62%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.71%EV -5.10%E -4.40%K -31.90%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -22.17%E -3.63%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 18:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.71%EV -5.10%E -4.40%K -31.90%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -2.19%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -22.17%E -3.63%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 18:43 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.98%EV -3.47%E -2.94%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -7.62%E -0.448%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -23.44%E -3.91%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.68% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.68% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.68% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.31% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 18:40 |