语言:简体中文
Serbia v Netherlands
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Serbia (主队)
预测 13.89%7.20公平赔率
EV +4.88%
优势 +0.646%
Kelly +0.744%
增长率 +0.036%
假设最高赔率为 7.55
博彩公司预测分布
12.72%13.87%13.83%15.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.006.686.507.5516.67%14.97%15.38%13.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
Netherlands (客队)
预测 67.02%1.49公平赔率
EV -0.803%
优势 -0.543%
Kelly -1.67%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.48
博彩公司预测分布
64.31%66.97%67.02%69.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.401.401.4875.19%71.26%71.43%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.08%5.24公平赔率
EV +0.765%
优势 +0.145%
Kelly +0.179%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 5.28
博彩公司预测分布
17.77%19.16%19.15%20.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.834.805.2822.73%20.71%20.83%18.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Serbia (主队)：13.89%；Netherlands (客队)：67.02%；平局：19.08%。 对于“Serbia (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.20。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.55，对应+4.88%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.72%EV +4.88%E +0.646%K +0.744%G +0.036% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.09%EV -6.84%E -4.92%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.19%EV +0.765%E +0.145%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 15:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.95%EV +4.18%E +0.558%K +0.643%G +0.027% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.38%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.67%EV -0.762%E -0.146%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.27%EV +1.40%E +0.192%K +0.223%G +0.003% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.74%EV -4.15%E -2.91%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.99%EV -2.67%E -0.524%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-27 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.91%EV +1.40%E +0.192%K +0.223%G +0.003% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.37%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71%EV -13.17%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.91%EV +1.40%E +0.192%K +0.223%G +0.003% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.37%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.71%EV -13.17%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.71%EV -2.35%E -0.334%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.89%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.40%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 15:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV -2.76%E -0.395%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.95%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.76%E -0.395%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.50%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -10.30%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.76%E -0.395%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.50%E -3.90%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -10.30%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -2.76%E -0.395%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -8.18%E -5.97%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-27 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -2.76%E -0.395%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.85%E -6.50%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.35%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -2.76%E -0.395%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -10.19%E -7.60%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-27 15:39 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -5.54%E -0.815%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.55%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.54%EV -2.67%E -0.524%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 15:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -6.24%E -0.924%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -12.21%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-27 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -6.24%E -0.924%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -10.86%E -8.16%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -14.12%E -3.14%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -12.21%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.00%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.57%EV -3.62%E -0.718%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-27 15:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -4.82%E -3.40%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.35%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 15:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-27 15:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.35%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-27 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.94%EV -7.51%E -5.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -6.49%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -7.51%E -5.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -16.03%E -3.64%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.71%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -7.51%E -5.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -16.03%E -3.64%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -13.18%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.58%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-27 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.78%EV -13.18%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.45%EV -8.18%E -5.97%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -0.762%E -0.146%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -13.18%E -2.11%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.21%EV -8.18%E -5.97%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.06%EV -2.67%E -0.524%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -16.65%E -2.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -0.803%E -0.543%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.65%E -2.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.65%E -2.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -16.65%E -2.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -3.48%E -2.42%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -8.40%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 15:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -16.65%E -2.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.17%E -4.40%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.12%E -3.14%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.18% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.33% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49% | 0.2% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.09% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.09% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77% | 0.5% | 2026-09-27 15:55 |